{"id":125487,"date":"2025-12-10T06:10:50","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T04:10:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?post_type=japanese-blog&#038;p=125487"},"modified":"2025-12-24T13:08:44","modified_gmt":"2025-12-24T11:08:44","slug":"weekly-gold-analysis-10-12-2025","status":"publish","type":"japanese-blog","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/zh\/media\/weekly-gold-analysis-10-12-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4eca\u9031\u306e\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9(XAU)\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\uff1a\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u306e\u7126\u70b9\u306f\u7c73FOMC\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3078\u301012\u6708\u7b2c2\u9031\u3011"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1350\" height=\"614\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/gold-outlook.png\" alt=\"IronFX\u306b\u3088\u308b\u4eca\u9031\u306e\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\uff08XAU\uff09\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3068\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u3002\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u30fb\u30ec\u30b8\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u30b9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3001\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u65b9\u5411\u6027\u3001\u7d4c\u6e08\u6307\u6a19\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u542b\u3080\u9031\u6b21\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u56f3\" class=\"wp-image-117626\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u524d\u56de\u306e\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u4ee5\u964d\u3001\u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u5168\u4f53\u7684\u306b\u6bd4\u8f03\u7684\u5b89\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u672c\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u306f\u3001\u660e\u65e5\u306b\u4e88\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u7c73\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\uff08FRB\uff09\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u767a\u8868\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u3001\u91d1\u3068\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u9006\u76f8\u95a2\u304c\u4f9d\u7136\u6a5f\u80fd\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066\u5730\u653f\u5b66\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u304c\u91d1\u76f8\u5834\u3078\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u5f71\u97ff\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u898b\u3066\u3044\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u3088\u308a\u4fef\u77b0\u7684\u306a\u8996\u70b9\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u91d1(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ja\/media\/xauusd\/\">XAUUSD<\/a>)\u306e\u65e5\u8db3\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u306e\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u5206\u6790\u3082\u5408\u308f\u305b\u3066\u884c\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-fomc\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u767a\u8868\u306f\u91d1\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u6700\u5927\u306e\u7126\u70b9\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>FOMC\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u767a\u8868\u306f\u91d1\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u6700\u5927\u306e\u7126\u70b9<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4eca\u9031\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u3067\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u30c6\u30fc\u30de\u306f\u3001\u660e\u65e5\u306e<strong>\u7c73<\/strong><strong>FOMC\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u6c7a\u5b9a<\/strong>\u3067\u3059\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u306f<strong>25bp\u306e\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u30929\u5272\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307f\u6e08\u307f<\/strong>\u3067\u3001\u3055\u3089\u306b\u6765\u5e74\u306b<strong>\u8ffd\u52a0<\/strong><strong>2\u56de\u306e\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u3092\u898b\u8fbc\u3080<\/strong>\u3068\u306e\u898b\u65b9\u304c\u91d1\u5229\u5148\u7269\u306b\u8868\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br>\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u4eee\u306b\u660e\u65e5\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u304c\u5b9f\u65bd\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3082\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u671f\u5f85\u3059\u308b\u7de9\u548c\u30da\u30fc\u30b9\u306f\u307e\u3060\u4e0a\u306b\u3042\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001<strong>\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u7126\u70b9\u306f\u767a\u8868\u5f8c\u306e\u30d5\u30a9\u30ef\u30fc\u30c9\u30ac\u30a4\u30c0\u30f3\u30b9\uff08\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u65b9\u91dd\uff09\u3078\u79fb\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u3044<\/strong>\u3068\u8a00\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>FRB\u306e\u59ff\u52e2\u5224\u65ad\u306e\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u306f\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e4\u3064\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u30d1\u30a6\u30a8\u30eb\u8b70\u9577\u4f1a\u898b<\/strong><br>\u2192 \u30cf\u30c8\u6d3e\u5bc4\u308a\u767a\u8a00\u30fb\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u4f59\u5730\u3092\u793a\u5506 \u2192 \u91d1\u76f8\u5834\u306e\u652f\u63f4<br>\u2192 \u30bf\u30ab\u6d3e\u5bc4\u308a\uff08\u3055\u3089\u306a\u308b\u7de9\u548c\u306b\u614e\u91cd\uff09 \u2192 \u91d1\u76f8\u5834\u306b\u91cd\u3055<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u58f0\u660e\u6587<\/strong><br>\u2192 \u30bf\u30ab\u6d3e\u8272\u304c\u5f37\u3051\u308c\u3070\u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u4e0b\u62bc\u3057\u5727\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u30c9\u30c3\u30c8\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\uff08\u91d1\u5229\u898b\u901a\u3057\uff09<\/strong><br>\u2192 2026\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u5e02\u5834\u60f3\u5b9a\uff083.25%\u301c3.50%\u4e0b\uff09\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u308b\u306a\u3089\u3001\u30cf\u30c8\u6d3e\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u3068\u3057\u3066\u91d1\u3092\u652f\u63f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u30de\u30af\u30ed\u7d4c\u6e08\u898b\u901a\u3057\uff08\u7279\u306b\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u30fb\u96c7\u7528\uff09<\/strong><br>\u2192 \u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u304c\u7c98\u7740\u7684\u3068\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306a\u3089\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u671f\u5f85\u304c\u5f8c\u9000\u3057\u91d1\u306f\u5f31\u542b\u3080\u3002<br>\u2192 \u9006\u306b\u96c7\u7528\u306e\u5927\u5e45\u306a\u8edf\u5316\u4e88\u60f3\u306a\u3089\u30cf\u30c8\u6d3e\u5224\u65ad\u3068\u306a\u308a\u91d1\u3092\u62bc\u3057\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\u30a6\u30af\u30e9\u30a4\u30ca\u3068-\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u60c5\u52e2\u3082\u5f71\u97ff\u8981\u56e0\u306b\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>\u30a6\u30af\u30e9\u30a4\u30ca\u3068 \u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u60c5\u52e2\u3082\u5f71\u97ff\u8981\u56e0\u306b<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5730\u653f\u5b66\u7684\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f<strong>\u30a6\u30af\u30e9\u30a4\u30ca\u6226\u4e89\u3068\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u60c5\u52e2<\/strong>\u3092\u7d99\u7d9a\u76e3\u8996\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u7a7a\u57df\u306e\u9589\u9396\u306f\u6226\u6642\u884c\u52d5\u3068\u306e\u898b\u65b9\u3082<\/em><br>\u2192 \u3082\u3057\u7c73\u8ecd\u95a2\u4e0e\u306a\u3069\u3078\u767a\u5c55\u3059\u308c\u3070<strong>\u91d1\u76f8\u5834\u306f\u4e0a\u6607\u5727\u529b<\/strong><br>\u2192 \u305f\u3060\u3057\u73fe\u6bb5\u968e\u3067\u306f\u7dca\u5f35\u7de9\u548c\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u306f\u898b\u3048\u306b\u304f\u3044<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u30a6\u30af\u30e9\u30a4\u30ca\u548c\u5e73\u4ea4\u6e09\u306f\u9032\u5c55\u306a\u3057<\/em><br>\u2192 \u5177\u4f53\u7684\u6210\u679c\u304c\u51fa\u308c\u3070\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u5f8c\u9000\u306b\u3088\u308a<strong>\u91d1\u306f\u4e0b\u843d\u8981\u56e0<\/strong><br>\u2192 \u9006\u306b\u7d1b\u4e89\u6fc0\u5316\u306a\u3089<strong>\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7523\u3068\u3057\u3066\u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u3092\u652f\u63f4<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\u30c9\u30eb\u3068\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u306e\u9006\u76f8\u95a2\u306f\u73fe\u5728\u4e0d\u6d3b\u6027\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>\u30c9\u30eb\u3068\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u306e\u9006\u76f8\u95a2\u306f\u73fe\u5728\u4e0d\u6d3b\u6027<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u904e\u53bb1\u9031\u9593\u3001<strong>\u91d1\u3068\u30c9\u30eb\u306f\u3068\u3082\u306b\u6a2a\u3070\u3044\u63a8\u79fb<\/strong>\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u901a\u5e38\u898b\u3089\u308c\u308b\u9006\u76f8\u95a2\u306f\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u50cd\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u307e\u305f<strong>\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u5229\u56de\u308a\u304c\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u305f\u306b\u3082\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3089\u305a\u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u304c\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f<\/strong>\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u73fe\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u304c\u91d1\u306e\u4ee3\u66ff\u6295\u8cc7\u5148\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5f37\u3044\u9b45\u529b\u3092\u6301\u3063\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u5206\u6790\"><strong><strong><strong><strong>\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"903\" height=\"418\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/XAUUSDChartDecWeek2-1.png\" alt=\"2025\u5e7412\u6708\u7b2c2\u9031\u306e\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\uff08XAUUSD)\u306e\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u5206\u6790\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\" class=\"wp-image-125489\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\uff1a4050 (S1), 3890 (S2), 3615 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30ec\u30b8\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u30b9\uff1a4245 (R1), 4380 (R2), 4800 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u306f\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u76f8\u5834\u7d99\u7d9a\u3001\u30d6\u30ec\u30a4\u30af\u5f85\u3061\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u524d\u56de\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u4ee5\u964d\u3001\u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u306f<strong>4245\uff08R1\uff09\u624b\u524d\u3067\u5b89\u5b9a\u63a8\u79fb<\/strong>\u3057\u3001\u3054\u304f\u5f31\u3044\u4e0b\u843d\u5727\u529b\u306f\u898b\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001\u660e\u78ba\u306a\u58f2\u308a\u65b9\u5411\u3068\u306f\u8a00\u3044\u304c\u305f\u3044\u72b6\u6cc1\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u4e0a\u6607\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u7dad\u6301 \u2192 <strong>\u4e0a\u6607\u518d\u958b\u306e\u4f59\u5730\u3042\u308a<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ja\/media\/rsi\/\">RSI<\/a>\u306f50\u301c70\u570f \u2192 <strong>\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u5f31\u542b\u307f\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3082\u5f37\u6c17\u5bc4\u308a<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u30dc\u30ea\u30f3\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30d0\u30f3\u30c9\u7e2e\u5c0f \u2192 <strong>\u4f4e\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u30fb\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u7d99\u7d9a\u793a\u5506<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcc8 <strong>\u5f37\u6c17\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\uff08\u518d\u4e0a\u6607\uff09<\/strong><br>\u2192 <em>4245\uff08R1\uff09\u7a81\u7834<\/em> \u2192 *\u904e\u53bb\u6700\u9ad8\u5024 4380\uff08R2\uff09*\u3092\u8996\u91ce<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcc9 <strong>\u5f31\u6c17\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\uff08\u4e0b\u843d\u8ee2\u63db\uff09\u203b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f\u4f4e\u3044<\/strong><br>\u2192 \u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u5272\u308c \u2192 <em>4050\uff08S1\uff09<\/em> \u2192 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