{"id":93082,"date":"2024-10-22T11:41:02","date_gmt":"2024-10-22T08:41:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=93082"},"modified":"2024-10-22T11:41:18","modified_gmt":"2024-10-22T08:41:18","slug":"the-usd-supported-by-uncertainty-and-fed-expectations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/vi\/the-usd-supported-by-uncertainty-and-fed-expectations\/","title":{"rendered":"The USD supported by uncertainty and Fed expectations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD continued to strengthen against its counterparts yesterday. There seem to be two factors currently feeding USD bulls with the one being the market\u2019s expectations for the Fed\u2019s intentions. Fed policymakers in the past weeks, have highlighted the possibility that the bank may proceed with a more moderated pace in rate cutting than what the market may have been expecting thus providing support for the USD. It\u2019s characteristic that US yields both on shorter as well as on longer-term bonds, were on the rise yesterday, providing additional support for the greenback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the FX market we note the rise of the USD against the JPY yesterday, with the pair\u2019s price action bouncing on the 149.40 (S1) support line and aiming for the 152.00 (R1) resistance level. We tend to maintain a\u00a0 bullish outlook for the pair as long as the upward trendline guiding the pair since the start of the month remains intact. Furthermore the RSI indicator remains just below the reading of 70 implying a strong bullish sentiment for the pair among market participants and the price action has some distance from the upper Bollinger band, implying that there is still some room for the bulls to play. Should the bulls remains in charge as expected, we may see the pair breaking the 152.00 (R1) resistance line and thus pave the way for\u00a0 the 155.20 (R2) resistance level. For a bearish outlook, we would require the pair to initially the prementioned upward trendline, signalling an interruption of the upward movement and continue to break the 149.40 (S1) support line, aiming for the 146.00 (S2) support level.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"ECB speakers today could influence the EUR&#039;s direction\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/P0gu-e0hibI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In the FX market we note the rise of the USD against the JPY yesterday, with the pair\u2019s price action bouncing on the 149.40 (S1) support line and aiming for the 152.00 (R1) resistance level. We tend to maintain a\u00a0 bullish outlook for the pair as long as the upward trendline guiding the pair since the start of the month remains intact. Furthermore the RSI indicator remains just below the reading of 70 implying a strong bullish sentiment for the pair among market participants and the price action has some distance from the upper Bollinger band, implying that there is still some room for the bulls to play. Should the bulls remains in charge as expected, we may see the pair breaking the 152.00 (R1) resistance line and thus pave the way for\u00a0 the 155.20 (R2) resistance level. For a bearish outlook, we would require the pair to initially the prementioned upward trendline, signalling an interruption of the upward movement and continue to break the 149.40 (S1) support line, aiming for the 146.00 (S2) support level.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The second factor to keep an eye out, would the US elections as both the stakes and uncertainty about the outcome are high. The presidential elections are to be a close call as polls show Trump and Harris leading a tight race, within the boundaries for a statistical error. The market seems to be increasingly convinced that Trump may win the elections, hence the notion of \u201cTrump trade\u201d seems to gain traction. Given the former US President\u2019s intentions for a more isolationist economic policy, characterised by tariffs such an outcome could support the USD and weigh on emerging markets, At the same time the possibility of further deregulation, could provide support for US stock markets. At the same time gold\u2019s price is at new record high levels and rising as it seems to enjoy safe haven inflows. The possible outcome of the elections, is still uncertain and given also that in parallel the US is to have local elections for Congress, the possibility of a hung Government, where the President and Congress are in two opposing sides, should be priced in. If the elections are decided by a very narrow majority, we may see Trump of Harris contesting the results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a technical level, we note the rise of gold\u2019s price, with the precious metal\u2019s price breaking the 2685 (S1) resistance barrier, now turned to support. Gold\u2019s price entered unchartered waters, reaching new record high levels and we maintain a bullish outlook for gold\u2019s price as long as the upward trendline guiding it since the 8<sup>th<\/sup> of August remains intact. The RSI indicator has surpassed the reading of 70 highlighting the bullish intentions of the market for the precious metal, yet at the same time may also imply that gold\u2019s price is at overbought levels and thus ripe for a correction lower. Similar signals are being send by the price action flirting with the upper Bollinger band. Should the buying interest be extended, we may set as the next possible target for the bulls the 2760 (R1) resistance line. Should the bears take over, we may see gold\u2019s price, reversing course, breaking the 2685 (S1) line, the prementioned upward trendline and aiming if not breaching the 2600 (S2) support base, forming a lower trough than the last one on the 9<sup>th<\/sup> of October.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we get Canada\u2019s PPI rates for September, the US Richmond Fed Composite Index for October and the\u00a0 US API weekly crude oil inventories figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-daily-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"624\" height=\"289\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-102.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and forty nine point four and resistance at one hundred and fifty two, direction upwards       \" class=\"wp-image-93083\" title=\"usd-jpy-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 149.40 (S1), 146.00 (S2), 143.40 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 152.00 (R1), 155.20 (R2), 158.40 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-xau-usd-daily-chart\"><strong>XAU\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-104.png\" alt=\"support at two thousand six hundred and eighty five and resistance at two thousand seven hundred and sixty, direction upwards     \" class=\"wp-image-93085\" title=\"xau-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 2685 (S1), 2600 (S2), 2530 (S3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 2760 (R1), 2840 (R2), 2930 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"488\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-105.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-93086\" title=\"benchmark-22-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1589\" height=\"1125\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-106.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-93088\" title=\"morning-releases-22-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1213\" height=\"794\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-107.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-93089\" title=\"morning-releases-22-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD continued to strengthen against its counterparts yesterday. There seem to be two factors currently feeding USD bulls with<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-93082","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93082\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The USD supported by uncertainty and Fed expectations\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/vi\/the-usd-supported-by-uncertainty-and-fed-expectations\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-10-22T08:41:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-10-22T08:41:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/the-usd-supported-by-uncertainty-and-fed-expectations\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/the-usd-supported-by-uncertainty-and-fed-expectations\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"The USD supported by uncertainty and Fed expectations\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-10-22T08:41:02+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-10-22T08:41:18+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/the-usd-supported-by-uncertainty-and-fed-expectations\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":953,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"vi\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/the-usd-supported-by-uncertainty-and-fed-expectations\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/the-usd-supported-by-uncertainty-and-fed-expectations\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forex blog - 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