{"id":91394,"date":"2024-10-10T11:55:07","date_gmt":"2024-10-10T08:55:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=91394"},"modified":"2024-10-10T11:55:20","modified_gmt":"2024-10-10T08:55:20","slug":"septembers-us-cpi-rates-in-the-epicenter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/vi\/septembers-us-cpi-rates-in-the-epicenter\/","title":{"rendered":"September\u2019s US CPI rates in the epicenter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD gained against its counterparts yesterday, as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/monetarypolicy\/files\/fomcminutes20240918.pdf\">Fed\u2019s September meeting minutes <\/a>proved to be more hawkish than what the market expected. It\u2019s characteristic that most of the Fed policymakers agreed that monthly inflation reports align and are consistent with inflation returning sustainably to the 2% target. Overall, the release did not alter the market\u2019s expectations for the bank to proceed with two 25 basis points rate cuts until the end of the year, thus providing some slight support for the USD at the release and the following minutes. In a slightly more hawkish tone, San Francisco Fed President Daly stated yesterday that she expects the bank to proceed with one or two more rate cuts until the end of the year.\u00a0 Today we expect the markets to closely watch the speeches of\u00a0 Richmond Fed President Barkin and New York Fed President Williams for any further clues regarding the Fed\u2019s intentions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"US CPI rates due out today\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/jVC5RffZKis?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On a technical level the USD gained against the JPY forcing USD\/JPY even higher and the pair is currently testing the 149.40 (R1) resistance line. We see the case for the upward motion to be maintained yet the US CPI rates release could alter the pair\u2019s direction. Also note that the RSI indicator remains at relatively high levels, which tends to imply a bullish market sentiment for USD\/JPY. Should the bulls maintain control as expected, we may see the pair breaking the 149.40 (R1) resistance line, thus opening the gates for the 152.00 (R2) level. A bearish outlook seems currently to be remote, yet we note some hesitancy of the pair to break the R1, which could reverse the upward movement, yet for a bearish outlook to emerge we would require the pair to clearly break the 146.00 (S1) support line. \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the European theatre, we note that EUR\/USD continued to drop yesterday, yet shows some stabilisation during today\u2019s Asian and early European sessions. For the time being we tend to maintain a bearish outlook for the pair as long as the downward trendline incepted since the 30<sup>th<\/sup> of September, remains intact. We note that the idea of a double top formation seems to be gaining traction and is also implying further downward motion for the pair. Also the RSI indicator is nearing the reading of 30, implying a strong bearish sentiment of the market for the pair. Should the bears continue to lead the pair we may see EUR\/USD breaking the 1.0890 (S1) support line and thus pave the way for the 1.0775 (S2) support base. For a bullish outlook we would require the pair to reverse direction, break the prementioned downward trendline in a first signal that the downward motion has been interrupted and continue to break the 1.1000 (R1) resistance line clearly.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The main issue of the day though is expected to be the release of the US CPI rates for September. The headline rate is expected to slow down to 2.3% yoy if compared to August\u2019s 2.5% yoy. Such a release would be consistent with the expectations for further easing of inflationary pressures in the US economy and could weigh on the USD. On the flip side though the core rate is expected to remain unchanged at 3.2% yoy, implying a resilience of inflationary pressures in the US economy at a core level, and thus support the USD as it would contradict the narrative as expressed by the headline rate. We expect the release to have wider ripple effects, beyond the FX market should the actual rates differ substantially from the prognosis, they could affect also US stock markets and gold\u2019s price as they could shift the market\u2019s expectations for the Fed\u2019s intentions. Should the rates fail to substantially slow down, we may see the release weighing on US stock markets and gold\u2019s price and vice versa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In today\u2019s European session, we get Sweden\u2019s\u00a0 August GDP rate, Norway\u2019s and the Czech Republic\u2019s September CPI rates, while BoJ Dep. Governor Himino and RBA Ass. Governor Hunter are scheduled to speak. Later we get the US weekly initial jobless claims figure. \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-daily-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-44.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and forty six and resistance at one hundred and forty nine point four, direction upward   \" class=\"wp-image-91395\" title=\"usd-jpy-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 146.00 (S1), 143.40 (S2), 140.30 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 149.40 (R1), 152.00 (R2), 155.20 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-daily-chart\"><strong>EUR\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-45.png\" alt=\"support at one point zero eight nine and resistance at one point one, direction downwards    \" class=\"wp-image-91396\" title=\"eur-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.0890 (S1), 1.0775 (S2), 1.0670 (S3)<strong><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1.1000 (R1), 1.1100 (R2), 1.1210 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1280\" height=\"316\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-46.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-91397\" title=\"benchmark-10-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1005\" height=\"565\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-49.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-91400\" title=\"table-10-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1111\" height=\"738\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-47.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-91398\" title=\"morning-releases-10-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1227\" height=\"598\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-48.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-91399\" title=\"morning-releases-10-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD gained against its counterparts yesterday, as the Fed\u2019s September meeting minutes proved to be more hawkish than what<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-91394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91394\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"September\u2019s US CPI rates in the epicenter\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/vi\/septembers-us-cpi-rates-in-the-epicenter\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-10-10T08:55:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-10-10T08:55:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/septembers-us-cpi-rates-in-the-epicenter\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/septembers-us-cpi-rates-in-the-epicenter\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"September\u2019s US CPI rates in the epicenter\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-10-10T08:55:07+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-10-10T08:55:20+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/septembers-us-cpi-rates-in-the-epicenter\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":786,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"vi\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/septembers-us-cpi-rates-in-the-epicenter\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/septembers-us-cpi-rates-in-the-epicenter\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forex blog - 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