{"id":58217,"date":"2023-03-22T16:27:54","date_gmt":"2023-03-22T14:27:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=58217"},"modified":"2025-10-13T14:11:40","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T11:11:40","slug":"equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/vi\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\/","title":{"rendered":"Equities report: Equity traders brace for Fed impact"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>US stock markets<\/strong> managed to contain their fall last week, found support and <strong>rebounded<\/strong> to higher ground, as the <strong>turmoil<\/strong> from sequential <strong>bank<\/strong> <strong>collapses<\/strong> and the fear for <strong>contagion<\/strong> across the globe, hurt the <strong>greenback<\/strong> which was translated into increased <strong>risk-taking<\/strong> behavior from <strong>equity traders<\/strong>.&nbsp; In this report we aim to present the recent fundamental and economic news releases that impacted the <strong>US stock markets<\/strong>, look ahead at the upcoming events that could affect their performance and conclude with a technical analysis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-markets-await-patiently-for-the-fed-s-decision\"><strong>Markets await patiently for the Fed\u2019s decision<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In today\u2019s American session the star of the day will be the <strong>FED\u2019s interest rate decision<\/strong> and the market\u2019s expectations seem to have solidified. It\u2019s characteristic that <strong>FFF<\/strong> are predicting an 80% probability of a <strong>hike<\/strong> by <strong>25 basis points<\/strong>. There was a lot of speculation in regards to how the <strong>FED<\/strong> would react following the <strong>mini-banking crisis<\/strong> that plagued the US economy in the past few weeks. Most notable were <strong>SVB<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>Silvergate<\/strong> whose <strong>collapses spread contagion fears<\/strong> across numerous banks in Europe, such as <strong>Credit Suisse<\/strong> which led to its acquisition from its long-term rival <strong>UBS<\/strong>. The implications were potentially catastrophic, as many feared this could upend strategic plans laid by the <strong>ECB <\/strong>v\u00e0<strong> FED<\/strong> in order to combat inflation. However, following the <strong>ECB\u2019s decision<\/strong> to hike rates by <strong>50 basis points<\/strong> and the swift action followed by <strong>SNB<\/strong> for <strong>Credit Suisse<\/strong>, the market anticipates that the <strong>FED<\/strong> could follow <strong>suit<\/strong> with its respective <strong>tightening plans<\/strong>, not of the same magnitude, however. Hence instead of <strong>not<\/strong> <strong>staying on hold<\/strong> and in fear of worsening the already delicate financial situation, the <strong>Fed<\/strong> may opt for the <strong>moderate 25 basis points hike<\/strong> scenario, so that the bank may continue to pursue its <strong>inflationary goal<\/strong> of 2%, without overstressing the <strong>Banking industry.<\/strong> Besides the <strong>Fed\u2019s interest rate decision<\/strong> as such, we also highlight the release of the <strong>accompanying statement<\/strong> which includes its <strong>forward guidance.<\/strong> Should the bank <strong>ease its aggressive<\/strong> <strong>hawkish stance<\/strong> and show some hesitation about its future rate hiking path, we may see the <strong>USD weakening,<\/strong> a scenario that highlights the possibility of an interest rate hike turning to a <strong>dovish hike<\/strong>. That therefore could inadvertently lead on <strong>equity<\/strong> <strong>nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch<\/strong> to indulge in <strong>riskier behavior<\/strong>, and we may see <strong>stock markets<\/strong> head to higher ground. Furthermore, markets will also focus on the release of the <strong>new dot plot<\/strong>, which is expected to broadcast where <strong>FOMC policymakers<\/strong> see the <strong>terminal rate peak<\/strong>. Should the terminal rate remain above market expectations we may see a <strong>bullish sentiment surrounding<\/strong> the <strong>USD<\/strong>, whereas <strong>downplay optimistic scenarios<\/strong> for a rally in the <strong>equities sectors<\/strong>. Also, we note the release of the bank\u2019s new <strong>economic projections<\/strong>. It will be interesting to see whether the <strong>Fed<\/strong> anticipates a recession in the US economy or not. Should the projections point out that the central bank foresees that the US economy is to <strong>avoid a recession<\/strong> or even <strong>encounter<\/strong> <strong>a rather<\/strong> <strong>shallow<\/strong> one, that may allow for the <strong>USD<\/strong> to <strong>gain<\/strong> somewhat. Last but not least, we also note <strong>Fed<\/strong> <strong>Chairman Jerome Powell\u2019s<\/strong> press conference post the decision. The <strong>Fed\u2019s Chairman<\/strong> comments after a decision are notorious for <strong>igniting market volatility<\/strong> and outright cause a <strong>reversal<\/strong> in <strong>market sentiment<\/strong>, therefore we advise caution in regards to <strong>USD-linked pairs<\/strong>. Should the Fed <strong>Chairman<\/strong> actually sound <strong>hawkish<\/strong> enough, we may see the <strong>greenback<\/strong> getting some <strong>support<\/strong> and highlighting once again that the decision may have <strong>ripple effects into equities<\/strong> <strong>markets<\/strong> depending on the outcome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-technical-analysis\"><strong><u>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/u><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-us30-4hour-chart\"><strong>#US30 4Hour Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"455\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-104.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-58218\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Support: 31800 (S1), 31100 (S2), 30300 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Resistance: 32600 (R1), 33500 (R2), 34500 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Looking at <strong>#US30 4-hour chart<\/strong> we observe the <strong>index<\/strong> <strong>consolidating<\/strong> around the 31800 (S1) <strong>support<\/strong> base over the past week and bouncing higher, closing in the 32600 (R1) <strong>resistance<\/strong> barrier ahead of today\u2019s <strong>Fed<\/strong> <strong>interest rate decision<\/strong>. We hold a <strong>sideways<\/strong> <strong>bias<\/strong> for the index, ahead of today\u2019s decision, awaiting for the results and advising caution. The <strong>RSI<\/strong> indicator below our 4-hour chart that currently registers a reading of 58, which showcases <strong>slight bullish sentiment<\/strong> in favour of the <strong>index<\/strong>, yet the price action remains bounded between the <strong>descending channels\u2019 bounds<\/strong>. Should the <strong>bulls take over<\/strong>, we may see the break above the 32600 (R1) <strong>resistance<\/strong> level and the upper bound of the <strong>descending channel<\/strong> alongside the move of the <strong>index<\/strong> closer to the 33500 (R2) <strong>resistance barrier<\/strong>. In an extremely volatile scenario we may also see the price action rising closer to the 34500 (R3) level. Should the <strong>bears reign over<\/strong> on the other hand, we may see the definitive break below the 31800 (S1) <strong>support<\/strong> level and the lower bound of the <strong>descending channel<\/strong>, alongside the possible break below the 31100 (S2) <strong>support base<\/strong>. Under extreme scenario we may also see the price action heading lower, closer to the 30300 (S3) support range which was last visited during October of 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.co\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.co<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>US stock markets managed to contain their fall last week, found support and rebounded to higher ground, as the turmoil<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-58217","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.7 (Yoast SEO v28.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"US stock markets managed to contain their fall last week, found support and rebounded to higher ground, as the turmoil.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, nofollow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Equities report: Equity traders brace for Fed impact\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"US stock markets managed to contain their fall last week, found support and rebounded to higher ground, as the turmoil.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/vi\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-03-22T14:27:54+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-13T11:11:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/pt\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Equities report: Equity traders brace for Fed impact\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-03-22T14:27:54+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-13T11:11:40+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":878,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/pt\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"vi\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/pt\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-03-22T14:27:54+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-13T11:11:40+00:00\",\"description\":\"US stock markets managed to contain their fall last week, found support and rebounded to higher ground, as the turmoil.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"vi\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-equity-traders-brace-for-fed-impact\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Equities report: Equity traders brace for Fed impact\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/pt\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartindonesiafx.id\\\/pt\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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