{"id":57776,"date":"2023-03-15T16:13:57","date_gmt":"2023-03-15T14:13:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=57776"},"modified":"2025-10-13T14:36:16","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T11:36:16","slug":"equities-outlook-svbs-collapse-puts-global-banking-industry-on-red-alert","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/vi\/equities-outlook-svbs-collapse-puts-global-banking-industry-on-red-alert\/","title":{"rendered":"Equities report: SVB\u2019s collapse puts global banking industry on red alert"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Panic ensures across the <strong>banking industry<\/strong> after <strong>Silicon Valley Bank\u2019s collapse<\/strong> last week and market now turns its attention towards <strong>Credit Suisse<\/strong>, since the absolute <strong>categorical denial for additional funding<\/strong> from its <strong>largest investor<\/strong> led its <strong>stock to plunge to all-time lows<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>sparked<\/strong> a <strong>worldwide trust and confidence crisis<\/strong> for <strong>banking institutions<\/strong>. In this report we aim to present the recent <strong>c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>economic news releases<\/strong> that <strong>impacted<\/strong> the <strong>US stock markets<\/strong>, look ahead at the <strong>upcoming events<\/strong> that could affect their <strong>performance<\/strong> and conclude with a <strong>technical analysis.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-credit-suisse-s-plunge-hurts-the-market-s-psychology\"><strong>Credit Suisse\u2019s plunge hurts the market\u2019s psychology<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Following the tumultuous events of last week where <strong>Silicon Valley Bank collapsed<\/strong> due to <strong>insufficient funds<\/strong> to meet <strong>depositors<\/strong> needs, analysts started to ponder; Who\u2019s next? <strong>Credit Suisse<\/strong> has been under the spotlight over the past six months for all the wrong reasons. The bank <strong>recorded a massive loss in 2022<\/strong> and it is undergoing a <strong>restructuring process<\/strong> which aims to lift the <strong>bank<\/strong> from its slump, re-emerging from the ashes anew. The <strong>market<\/strong> however had adopted a <strong>reluctant<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>cautious <\/strong>stance <strong>against<\/strong> the <strong>Swiss bank<\/strong> and its <strong>share price<\/strong> has been slowly but steadily <strong>shedding value week after week<\/strong>. As <strong>SVB failure<\/strong> sent <strong>shockwaves<\/strong> across the <strong>global banking sector<\/strong>, the <strong>pressure<\/strong> on the bank <strong>intensified<\/strong>. Yesterday, the <strong>Credit Suisse CEO Ulrich Koerner<\/strong>, attempted to calm the <strong>markets nerves<\/strong> during a <strong>Bloomberg interview<\/strong> and openly <strong>asked from investors to trust the process<\/strong>. He stated that the <strong>bank<\/strong> has been <strong>implementing its transformation plans<\/strong> and more <strong>time<\/strong> <strong>is<\/strong> <strong>needed<\/strong> for the appropriate results to surface. He added that following the <strong>SVB<\/strong> <strong>upheaval<\/strong>, the bank saw <strong>material inflows<\/strong> on <strong>Monday<\/strong>, which were apprehended as a <strong>positive sign<\/strong> according to the <strong>CEO<\/strong> and the statement somewhat <strong>cushioned<\/strong> the <strong>intraday fall<\/strong>.\u00a0 Little did he know of what was to follow. Earlier today, <strong>Wednesday<\/strong>, <strong>Credit Suisse\u2019s largest investor the Saudi National Bank<\/strong>, with a <strong>9.88% ownership stake<\/strong>, delivered a <strong>devasting blow<\/strong> which pushed the <strong>stock<\/strong> over the edge, causing it to <strong>free fall into its all-time lows<\/strong>. <strong>SNB\u2019s Chairman Ammar Al Khudairy<\/strong>, <strong>explicitly stated<\/strong> that <strong>they won\u2019t be providing any additional capital aid<\/strong> to the <strong>distressed Credit Suisse<\/strong> due to <strong>regulatory<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>statutory reasons<\/strong>. The <strong>resolute denial<\/strong> from the <strong>biggest credit line of Credit Suisse<\/strong>, flashed the green light to the <strong>market<\/strong> to <strong>move in for the kill<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>sparked<\/strong> a <strong>confidence crisis<\/strong> for the <strong>entire European banking industry<\/strong>. <strong>Banks<\/strong> across the <strong>bloc<\/strong> got <strong>hammered<\/strong> today, with the <strong>majority<\/strong> of the <strong>European banking sector plunging in the reds<\/strong> after yesterday\u2019s brief breather. <strong>BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank, Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale, Commerzbank, UBS<\/strong>, and many other <strong>banking institutions<\/strong> continue to <strong>bleed profusely<\/strong>, v\u00e0 <strong>bulls<\/strong> appear <strong>reluctant<\/strong> to engage to <strong>halt the drop<\/strong>, at least for the time being. <strong>Similar moves<\/strong> but of <strong>lesser magnitude<\/strong> can be seen across the <strong>United States<\/strong> with names such as <strong>JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs<\/strong> and others <strong>feeling the heat<\/strong>. <strong>Analysts<\/strong> now expect the <strong>Swiss government<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>regulators<\/strong> to jump in and <strong>address the situation<\/strong>, preventing <strong>mass panic<\/strong> from <strong>spreading<\/strong> across the entire <strong>banking industry<\/strong>. <strong>Response<\/strong> from the <strong>regulators<\/strong> is of <strong>outmost importance<\/strong> since the <strong>bank<\/strong> is a <strong>global institution<\/strong> with <strong>exposure<\/strong> in <strong>most developed economies<\/strong> and failure to contain the <strong>panic<\/strong> may very well harbor <strong>severe implications worldwide<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-svb-s-fallout-scatters-money-markets-projections\"><strong>SVB\u2019s fallout scatters money markets projections<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market consensus<\/strong> about the <strong>Fed\u2019s hiking path<\/strong> forward <strong>radically changed<\/strong> since <strong>last week<\/strong>. Following <strong>Fed Chair Powell\u2019s comments<\/strong>, the <strong>market<\/strong> <strong>shifted <\/strong>their <strong>outlooks<\/strong> reflecting the <strong>hawkish prospects of the Fed<\/strong>, once the door for a <strong>larger magnitude hike <\/strong>sprung open. As a result, we saw the <strong>market shifting their projections<\/strong>, <strong>bracing<\/strong> for <strong>50 basis points<\/strong> hike in the <strong>March meeting<\/strong>. As soon as the <strong>SVB\u2019s collapse<\/strong> headlines hit however, the <strong>market quickly downgraded<\/strong> their <strong>projections<\/strong> for the <strong>50 basis points hike<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>opted<\/strong> for a <strong>25 basis points hike scenario<\/strong>, reverting to <strong>pre-Powell speech outlooks<\/strong>. After the weekend and the <strong>Federal Reserve, FDIC and the Treasury department\u2019s joint decision<\/strong> to step in and <strong>ensure<\/strong> that <strong>depositors<\/strong> would get back their money back, we saw a complete <strong>180 degree turn from the market<\/strong>, <strong>dismissing<\/strong> the <strong>25-basis points scenario<\/strong> all together and <strong>ended up pricing<\/strong> in that the <strong>Fed would stay on hold<\/strong> in the <strong>February meeting<\/strong>. Yesterday, the <strong>market was split equally<\/strong> between <strong>no hike and 25 basis points<\/strong> scenarios in <strong>anticipation of the inflation report<\/strong> v\u00e0 <strong>after the report<\/strong> they <strong>favored<\/strong> the <strong>scenario of 25bps<\/strong>. Earlier today, after <strong>Credit Suisse\u2019s confidence crisis<\/strong> and the <strong>plunge of its share price to all time lows<\/strong>, <strong>worries<\/strong> for <strong>contagion<\/strong> echoed across the <strong>European continent<\/strong> and led <strong>money market analysts<\/strong> to once again consider the <strong>no hike scenario<\/strong> by the <strong>Fed<\/strong>. The underlying message from these observations is that the <strong>market<\/strong> has no clue on what\u2019s to follow as we inch closer to the <strong>Fed meeting<\/strong> and further <strong>developments<\/strong> from the <strong>SVB case and Credit Suisse<\/strong>, alongside the results from <strong>crucial US related data<\/strong> may be <strong>needed<\/strong> for more <strong>accurate assessments<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-technical-analysis\"><strong><strong><u>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/u><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-us30-4hour-chart\"><strong>#US30 4Hour Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1299\" height=\"606\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-67.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-57777\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Support: 31800 (S1), 31100 (S2), 30300 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Resistance: 32600 (R1), 33500 (R2), 34500 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Looking at <strong>#US30 4-hour chart<\/strong> we <strong>observe<\/strong> the <strong>index extending<\/strong> its <strong>fall<\/strong> <strong>between<\/strong> the <strong>descending channel\u2019s bounds<\/strong> and is currently <strong>trading dangerously close<\/strong> to the 31800 (S1) <strong>support base<\/strong>. We hold a <strong>bearish outlook bias<\/strong> for the <strong>index<\/strong> given the probabilities for a potential spillover from <strong>Credit Suisse<\/strong> and supporting our case is the<strong> RSI<\/strong> indicator below our 4-hour chart that currently registers a reading of 37, highlighting the <strong>negative sentiment<\/strong> surrounding the <strong>Dow<\/strong>. Should the <strong>bears reign<\/strong> over, we may see the definitive break below the 31800 (R1) <strong>resistance level<\/strong> and the lower bound of the <strong>descending channel<\/strong> alongside the possible break below the 31100 (S2) <strong>support base<\/strong>. Under <strong>extreme scenario<\/strong> we may also see the price action heading lower, closer to the 30300 (S3) <strong>support range<\/strong> which was last visited during October of 2022. Should on the other hand, the <strong>bulls take the initiative<\/strong>, we may see the break above the 32600 (R1) <strong>resistance level<\/strong>, the break of the upper bound of the <strong>descending<\/strong> <strong>channel<\/strong> and the move near the 33500 (R2) <strong>resistance barrier<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.co\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.co<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Panic ensures across the banking industry after Silicon Valley Bank\u2019s collapse last week and market now turns its attention towards<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-57776","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.7 (Yoast SEO v28.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Panic ensures across the banking industry after Silicon Valley Bank\u2019s collapse last week and market now turns its attention towards.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, nofollow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Equities report: SVB\u2019s collapse puts global banking industry on red alert\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Panic ensures across the banking industry after Silicon Valley Bank\u2019s collapse last week and market now turns its attention towards.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/vi\/equities-outlook-svbs-collapse-puts-global-banking-industry-on-red-alert\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-03-15T14:13:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-13T11:36:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-svbs-collapse-puts-global-banking-industry-on-red-alert\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-svbs-collapse-puts-global-banking-industry-on-red-alert\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfxcn.com\\\/th\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Equities report: SVB\u2019s collapse puts global banking industry on red alert\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-03-15T14:13:57+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-13T11:36:16+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-svbs-collapse-puts-global-banking-industry-on-red-alert\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1094,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ironfxcn.com\\\/th\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"vi\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-svbs-collapse-puts-global-banking-industry-on-red-alert\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/vi\\\/equities-outlook-svbs-collapse-puts-global-banking-industry-on-red-alert\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forex blog - 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