{"id":87578,"date":"2024-07-08T11:51:41","date_gmt":"2024-07-08T08:51:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=87578"},"modified":"2024-07-15T11:28:10","modified_gmt":"2024-07-15T08:28:10","slug":"french-far-left-in-a-surprise-win","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/th\/french-far-left-in-a-surprise-win\/","title":{"rendered":"French far left in a surprise win"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The common currency opened with a negative gap today as the results of the French elections have taken the markets by surprise. Despite Le Pen\u2019s far-right National Rally scoring a big win in the first round of the elections, in the second round, the far left (New Popular Front) got the most seats, with President Macron\u2019s party coming in second and Le Pens\u2019 far right third. The country may be entering a period of political instability as the far left does not seem willing to enter negotiations to form a coalition government, which in turn may start weighing on the common currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"The French Parliamentary elections have concluded\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/1BOFxjO4Ak0?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD opened with a negative gap today yet recovered some ground during today\u2019s Asian session, staying well within the boundaries set by the 1.0740 (S1) support line and the 1.0890 (R1) resistance level. We tend to maintain a bullish outlook for the pair given that the upward trendline remained intact and the RSI indicator despite edging lower remained well above the reading of 50. Should the bulls maintain control we may see EUR\/USD rising above Fridays\u2019 highs and aiming if not breaking the 1.0890 (R1) resistance line with the next possible target for the bulls being the 1.1010 (R2) level. Should the bears take over , we may see the pair breaking the prementioned upward trendline in a first signal that the upward movement has been interrupted and continue to break the 1.0740 (S1) support line, thus paving the way for the 1.0615 (S2) level.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The USD edged lower yet recovered quickly the lost ground on Friday\u2019s American session, as the US employment report for June sent some mixed signals for the US employment market. On the one hand, the Non-Farm Payrolls figure dropped less than expected which was a positive for the greenback, yet on the other hand, the unemployment rate ticked higher which was a negative. We highlight the release of the US CPI rates for June on Thursday, which provides us another piece of the puzzle, yet still consider the Fed\u2019s intentions as maybe the main driver for the USD.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we note the release of Germany\u2019s trade balance and retail sales growth rates, both for the month of May as well as Eurozone\u2019s Sentix index while BoE MPC member Haskel speaks. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we note Australia\u2019s consumer sentiment for July and business conditions and confidence for June.&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a technical level, we note that AUD\/USD was on the rise over the past three days and during today\u2019s Asian session, breaking the 0.6715 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. As the pair\u2019s price action has breached the 0.6715 (S1) level, we note that it has escaped the boundaries of its past rangebound motion and we switch our sideways movement bias in favour of a bullish outlook. The fact that the RSI indicator below our daily chart has neared the reading of 70, tends to support the idea of a bullish sentiment among market participants for the pair. Should the buying interest be maintained we may see the pair aiming for the 0.6870 (R1) resisrtance line. On the flip side, should the bears take over, we may see the pair breaking the upward trendline guiding it, in a first signal that the upward movement has ended, continue to break the 0.6715 (S1) support line clearly and aim for the 0.6575 (S2) support level.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-as-for-the-rest-of-the-week\"><strong>As for the rest of the week:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>After a quiet Tuesday and Fed&nbsp; Chairman Powell\u2019s testimony before Congress,&nbsp; on Wednesday we get from New Zealand, RBNZs\u2019 interest rate decision, Japan\u2019s corporate goods price, China\u2019s, Norway\u2019s and the Czech Republic\u2019s inflation metrics all being for June. On Thursday we get Japan\u2019s machinery orders and UK\u2019s GDP rates both being for May, while later on we get from the US the weekly initial jobless claims figure and we highlight the release of CPI rates for June. On Friday, we get Sweden\u2019s CPI rates for June, the US PPI rates also for June, Canada\u2019s building permits for May and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment for July.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-daily-chart\"><strong>EUR\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-34.png\" alt=\"support at one point zero seven four and resistance at one point zero wight nine, direction upwards    \" class=\"wp-image-87582\" title=\"eur-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.0740 (S1), 1.0.615 (S2), 1.0450 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1.0890 (R1), 1.1010 (R2), 1.1140 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-aud-usd-daily-chart\"><strong>AUD\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-35.png\" alt=\"support at point six seven one five and resistance at zero point six eight seven, direction upwards \" class=\"wp-image-87583\" title=\"aud-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 0.6715 (S1), 0.6575 (S2), 0.6445 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 0.6870 (R1), 0.7030 (R2), 0.7150 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2001\" height=\"493\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-36.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-87584\" title=\"benchmark-08-07-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"965\" height=\"564\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-38.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-87586\" title=\"table-08-07-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"1113\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-37.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-87585\" title=\"morning-releases-08-07-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The common currency opened with a negative gap today as the results of the French elections have taken the markets<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-87578","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>French far left in a surprise win<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Euro opens lower on French election results; far-left surge prompts political uncertainty, potential currency impact.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/th\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87578\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"th_TH\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"French far left in a surprise win\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Euro opens lower on French election results; far-left surge prompts political uncertainty, potential currency impact.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/th\/french-far-left-in-a-surprise-win\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-07-08T08:51:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-07-15T08:28:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/french-far-left-in-a-surprise-win\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/french-far-left-in-a-surprise-win\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"French far left in a surprise win\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-07-08T08:51:41+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-07-15T08:28:10+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/french-far-left-in-a-surprise-win\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":796,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"th\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/french-far-left-in-a-surprise-win\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/french-far-left-in-a-surprise-win\\\/\",\"name\":\"French far left in a surprise win\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-07-08T08:51:41+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-07-15T08:28:10+00:00\",\"description\":\"Euro opens lower on French election results; far-left surge prompts political uncertainty, potential currency impact.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/french-far-left-in-a-surprise-win\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"th\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/french-far-left-in-a-surprise-win\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/french-far-left-in-a-surprise-win\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"French far left in a surprise win\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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