{"id":83936,"date":"2024-05-21T10:28:47","date_gmt":"2024-05-21T07:28:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=83936"},"modified":"2025-12-29T17:22:53","modified_gmt":"2025-12-29T15:22:53","slug":"focus-on-canadas-cpi-rates-and-rbnzs-decision","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/th\/focus-on-canadas-cpi-rates-and-rbnzs-decision\/","title":{"rendered":"Focus on Canada\u2019s CPI rates and RBNZ\u2019s decision"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD edged higher yesterday against its counterparts, while at the same time the slight strengthening of the greenback tended to weigh on gold\u2019s price forcing the precious metal\u2019s price to retreat from the new record high levels it had reached yesterday. US stock markets on the other hand sent out some mixed signals.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"RBNZ decision due tomorrow\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/eGaxL41frgI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>North of the US border, on a macroeconomic level, the highlight of the day is expected to be the release of Canada\u2019s CPI rates for April and the rates are expected to slow down. Characteristically, the headline CPI rate is expected to slow down to 2.7% yoy if compared to March\u2019s 2.9% yoy. Should the rate slow down as expected or even more, we may see the CAD losing some ground, as it could enhance the market\u2019s expectations for a faster rate cut by BoC. On the other hand, should the rates fail to slow down or even accelerate, taking the markets by surprise, the release may add pressure on BoC to keep rates high for longer and thus provide asymmetric support for the CAD.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/CAD seems unable to break clearly the 1.3610 (S1) support line and yesterday edged higher. In its upward movement the pair interrupted the downward motion that characterised its direction since the 8<sup>th<\/sup> of May. Furthermore, the RSI indicator remained near the reading of 50 implying a relative indecisiveness on behalf of market participants in regards to the direction of the pair\u2019s price action. Hence we tend to switch our bearish outlook in favour of a sideways motion bias. Should the bears regain control over the pair\u2019s direction, we may see USD\/CAD, breaking the 1.3610 (S1) support line thus paving the way for the 1.3460 (S2) support level. For a bullish outlook the bar is pretty high, as we would require the pair to break the 1.3755 (R1) resistance line with the next possible target for the bulls being the 1.3895 (R2) resistance level.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we note the release from New Zealand RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision. The bank is widely expected to remain on hold, keeping the cash rate at 5.50% and currently NZD OIS imply a probability of 96% for such a scenario to materialise. Should the bank remain on hold as expected, the next point of interest is to be the bank\u2019s accompanying statement. Should the document show a relative decisiveness to maintain rates high for longer contradicting the market\u2019s possible expectations for rate cuts to come until the end of the year, we may see the Kiwi getting some support. On the flip side, should the bank imply that rate cuts are on the horizon and nearing we may see NZD weakening.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we note the release from New Zealand RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision. The bank is widely expected to remain on hold, keeping the cash rate at 5.50% and currently NZD OIS imply a probability of 96% for such a scenario to materialise. Should the bank remain on hold as expected, the next point of interest is to be the bank\u2019s accompanying statement. Should the document show a relative decisiveness to maintain rates high for longer contradicting the market\u2019s possible expectations for rate cuts to come until the end of the year, we may see the Kiwi getting some support. On the flip side, should the bank imply that rate cuts are on the horizon and nearing we may see NZD weakening.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today besides the release of Canada\u2019s April inflation metrics, we also from the UK May\u2019s CBI indicator for industrial orders. On the monetary front, we note that BoE\u2019s Kroszner, BoE\u2019s Mills, Fed Board Governor Waller, Richmond Fed President Barkin, NY Fed President Williams, Atlanta Fed President Bostic, Fed\u2019s Vice Chair Barr and BoE Governor Andrew Bailey are scheduled to speak. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, besides RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision, we note the release from Japan of March\u2019s Machinery orders growth rate and April\u2019s trade data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-cad-daily-chart\"><strong>USD\/CAD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-90.png\" alt=\"support at one point three six one and resistance one point three seven five five, direction sideways  \" class=\"wp-image-83946\" title=\"usd-cad-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.3610 (S1), 1.3460 (S2), 1.3335 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1.3755 (R1), 1.3895 (R2), 1.4050 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-nzd-usd-daily-chart\"><strong>NZD\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-91.png\" alt=\"support at zero point six zero five and resistance at zero point six one six, direction upwards \" class=\"wp-image-83947\" title=\"nzd-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 0.6050 (S1), 0.5940 (S2), 0.5850 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 0.6160 (R1), 0.6265 (R2), 0.6370 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1996\" height=\"490\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-92.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-83954\" title=\"benchmark-21-05-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"972\" height=\"564\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-95.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-83957\" title=\"table-21-05-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"1112\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-93.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-83955\" title=\"morning-releases-21-05-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1181\" height=\"752\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-94.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-83956\" title=\"morning-releases-21-05-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD edged higher yesterday against its counterparts, while at the same time the slight strengthening of the greenback tended<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-83936","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Canada CPI rates and RBNZ decision in focus<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Canada CPI rates and the RBNZ decision take focus as markets assess BoC and RBNZ policy outlooks and FX direction.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/th\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83936\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"th_TH\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Focus on Canada\u2019s CPI rates and RBNZ\u2019s decision\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Canada CPI rates and the RBNZ decision take focus as markets assess BoC and RBNZ policy outlooks and FX direction.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/th\/focus-on-canadas-cpi-rates-and-rbnzs-decision\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-05-21T07:28:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-29T15:22:53+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/focus-on-canadas-cpi-rates-and-rbnzs-decision\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/focus-on-canadas-cpi-rates-and-rbnzs-decision\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Focus on Canada\u2019s CPI rates and RBNZ\u2019s decision\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-05-21T07:28:47+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-29T15:22:53+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/focus-on-canadas-cpi-rates-and-rbnzs-decision\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":787,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"th\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/focus-on-canadas-cpi-rates-and-rbnzs-decision\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/focus-on-canadas-cpi-rates-and-rbnzs-decision\\\/\",\"name\":\"Canada CPI rates and RBNZ decision in focus\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-05-21T07:28:47+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-29T15:22:53+00:00\",\"description\":\"Canada CPI rates and the RBNZ decision take focus as markets assess BoC and RBNZ policy outlooks and FX direction.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/focus-on-canadas-cpi-rates-and-rbnzs-decision\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"th\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/focus-on-canadas-cpi-rates-and-rbnzs-decision\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/focus-on-canadas-cpi-rates-and-rbnzs-decision\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Focus on Canada\u2019s CPI rates and RBNZ\u2019s decision\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/th\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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