{"id":91268,"date":"2024-10-08T10:20:06","date_gmt":"2024-10-08T07:20:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=91268"},"modified":"2024-10-08T10:49:31","modified_gmt":"2024-10-08T07:49:31","slug":"rbnz-expected-to-proceed-with-a-double-rate-cut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/ru\/rbnz-expected-to-proceed-with-a-double-rate-cut\/","title":{"rendered":"RBNZ expected to proceed with a double rate cut"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD bulls took a break yesterday and during today\u2019s Asian session, with its upward movement being dented after reaching a 6-week high last Friday against its counterparts. We see the case for the greenback to maintain the initiative over other currencies in the FX Market and see the Fed\u2019s intentions being the main driver behind USD\u2019s direction. The extensively dovish expectations of the market seem to have been erased. After the hot US employment report for September, the market is now focusing on the release of the US CPI rates for September on Thursday as the next big test for the USD.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"RBNZ decision tomorrow\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/hNZ0y09lBno?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD seems to be reversing its downward motion in today\u2019s Asian session, aiming for the 1.1000 (R1) resistance line. The pair\u2019s price action seems about to break the downward trendline guiding the pair for the past week, signaling an interruption of the downward motion. Yet, after the pair\u2019s steep drop and given that it put the lower Bollinger band to the test, a correction higher was to be expected by the market and the downward trendline is about to be shifted to the right. Please note that the RSI indicator remains between the reading of 50 and&nbsp; 30, implying a bearish predisposition of the market for the pair. Should the bears maintain control as expected, we may see the pair once again taking aim of the 1.0890 (S1) line. For a bullish outlook we would require EUR\/USD to break the 1.1000 (R1) line and take aim of the 1.1100 (R2) level.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we get from New Zealand, RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision. The bank is expected to proceed with a 50 basis-points rate cut and currently NZD OIS imply a 99% probability for such a scenario to materialise. Should the bank cut rates as expected we may see a slightly bearish reaction for the Kiwi, given that the market may have already priced in such a scenario. In such a case we may see the market turning its attention towards the bank\u2019s forward guidance and overall, we see the case for the bank to have a dovish inclination which could weaken the NZD. Yet given that the market is currently expecting another double rate cut to follow, should the bank not display the necessary dovishness to adhere to the market\u2019s calls, we may see the Kiwi getting some support as the market may have to reposition itself. In a more aggressive form, the bank may take the markets by surprise and proceed with a 25 basis-points rate cut, a scenario that is expected to provide asymmetric support for the Kiwi. Overall we see risks related to the event as tilting to the bearish side, yet the bank may take the markets by surprise.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NZD\/USD maintained its downward motion, aiming for the 0.6090 (S1) support line. We tend to maintain our bearish outlook for the pair as long as the downward trendline incepted since the 30<sup>th<\/sup> of<br>September, remains intact. Please note that the RSI indicator is below the reading of 50 and aiming for the reading of 30, implying a bearish sentiment among market participants for the pair. Should the selling interest be extended we may see NZD\/USD breaking the 0.6090 (S1) support line and aiming for the 0.6045 (S2) level. For a bullish outlook, we would require the pair to reverse course, break initially the prementioned downward trendline in a first signal that the downward motion has ended and continue to break the 0.6150 (R1) resistance line, with the next possible target for the bulls being set at the 0.6220 (R2) level.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we get Germany\u2019s industrial output for August, while Fed Board Governor Kugler, ECB Board Member Schnabel, ECB Board Member McCaul and BoE Deputy Governor Breeden are scheduled to speak. Also we get Canada\u2019s trade data for August and later the US API weekly crude oil inventories figure. On the monetary front, Atlanta Fed President Bostic and Boston Fed President Collins are speaking. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we get Australia\u2019s Consumer sentiment for October while Fed Vice Chair Jefferson and RBA Assistant Governor Kent are speaking. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-cash-daily-chart\"><strong>EUR\/USD Cash Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-30.png\" alt=\"support at one point zero eight nine and resistance at one point one, direction sideways   \" class=\"wp-image-91269\" title=\"eur-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.0890 (S1), 1.0775 (S2), 1.0670 (S3)<strong><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1.1000 (R1), 1.1100 (R2), 1.1210 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-nzd-usd-daily-chart\"><strong>NZD\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-31.png\" alt=\"support at zero point six zero nine and resistance at zero point one five, direction downwards   \" class=\"wp-image-91270\" title=\"nzd-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 0.6090 (S1), 0.6045 (S2), 0.5985 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 0.6150 (R1), 0.6220 (R2), 0.6285 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1280\" height=\"314\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-33.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-91272\" title=\"benchmark-08-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"989\" height=\"563\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-36.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-91275\" title=\"table-08-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1111\" height=\"756\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-34.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-91273\" title=\"morning-releases-08-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1111\" height=\"424\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-35.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-91274\" title=\"morning-releases-08-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD bulls took a break yesterday and during today\u2019s Asian session, with its upward movement being dented after reaching a<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-91268","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ru\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91268\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ru_RU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RBNZ expected to proceed with a double rate cut\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/ru\/rbnz-expected-to-proceed-with-a-double-rate-cut\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-10-08T07:20:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-10-08T07:49:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ru\\\/rbnz-expected-to-proceed-with-a-double-rate-cut\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ru\\\/rbnz-expected-to-proceed-with-a-double-rate-cut\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ru\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"RBNZ expected to proceed with a double rate cut\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-10-08T07:20:06+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-10-08T07:49:31+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ru\\\/rbnz-expected-to-proceed-with-a-double-rate-cut\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":805,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ru\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"ru-RU\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ru\\\/rbnz-expected-to-proceed-with-a-double-rate-cut\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ru\\\/rbnz-expected-to-proceed-with-a-double-rate-cut\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forex blog - 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