{"id":91179,"date":"2024-10-04T11:22:19","date_gmt":"2024-10-04T08:22:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=91179"},"modified":"2026-02-09T15:57:00","modified_gmt":"2026-02-09T13:57:00","slug":"us-employment-report-for-september-in-the-epicenter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/pt\/us-employment-report-for-september-in-the-epicenter\/","title":{"rendered":"US employment report for September in the epicenter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Today the market is expected to focus on the release of the US employment report for September. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.2%, the NFP figure to edge slightly lower to 140k if compared to August\u2019s 142k and the average earnings growth rate to remain unchanged to 3.8%yoy. Overall, should the actual rates and figures meet their respective forecasts, the market may perceive the release as indicative of a cooling US employment market, thus may weigh on the USD. Yet the actual rates and figures seldom meet their forecasts and should the data show an even weaker US employment market than expected, the USD may tumble as the market expectations for extensive rate cuts by the Fed may be enhanced. On the flip side should the data show a tightening employment market in the US, the release could provide support for the USD, as it could provide more leeway for the Fed to maintain its cautious approach in cutting rates in the coming meetings and force the market to reposition itself.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"It&#039;s NFP Friday\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/3FDDHIfSGlo?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY continued to rise yesterday, yet today corrected lower testing the 146.00 (S1) support line. It should be noted that the correction lower for the pair took place after the price action broke above the upper Bollinger band as was noted in yesterday\u2019s report. Nevertheless and despite the correction lower of the RSI indicator we tend to maintain our bullish outlook for the pair. Should the bulls maintain control over the pair we may see it aiming for the 149.40 (R1) resistance line. Should the bears take over we may see the pair breaking the 146.00 (S1) support line, reversing Wednesday\u2019s gains, breaking the upward trendline guiding the pair since the mid of September and reaching the 143.40 (S2) support level.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the commodities front, oil prices continued to rise yesterday stoked by intense market worries for the situation in the Middle East. After Iran\u2019s missile attack last Tuesday, Israel\u2019s response is expected with the question of how hard the response will be looming over the markets. Should Israel target and destroy Iranian oil infrastructure such as the Khark Island, a major Iranian oil export hub, we may see oil prices getting a substantial boost, as market worries for the supply chains and a subsequent tightening of the international oil market, could intensify further. Yet the situation could get even worse should Israel choose to hit Iranian nuclear sites, a move Washington has warned Israel to avoid. In any case, the situation in the Middle East is critical and could evolve into a full-blown-out regional war, with adverse effects not only on oil supply chains. On the other hand, a softer target such as military facilities, may allow for a partial de-escalation of the situation or at least for a temporary easing of market worries for oil traders. Please note that OPEC stated that it has the spare capacity to cover for any supply losses from Iran, but would struggle if Iran attacks oil facilities of neighbouring Arab countries. &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WTI\u2019s price action rallied yesterday clearly breaking the 71.15 (S1) resistance line now turned to support. It should be noted that the RSI indicator also rose above the reading of 50 implying the build up of a bullish sentiment for the commodity\u2019s price among market participants. Hence we switch our sideways motion bias in favour of a bullish outlook. Yet we note that the price action has briefly breached the upper Bolinger band which could cause a correction lower for WTI\u2019s price. Should the bulls maintain control we may see WTI\u2019s price aiming if not breaching the 75.50 (R1) resistance line. Should the bears take over, we expect WTI\u2019s price to break the 71.15 (S1) support line, break the upward trendline guiding it since the 10<sup>a.<\/sup> of September and thus opening the gates for the 68.00 (S2) support base.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we note the release of Frances\u2019 industrial output growth rate for August, while on the monetary front, we note that BoE Chief Economist Pill and ECB Vice President De Guindos speak. In the American session, Canada\u2019s Ivey PMI for September is to be released, while NY Fed President Williams and ECB board member Elderson speak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-cash-daily-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY Cash Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-11.png\" alt=\"US September employment report impact on USD\/JPY chart\" class=\"wp-image-91180\" title=\"usd-jpy-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 146.00 (S1), 143.40 (S2), 140.30 (S3)<strong><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 149.40 (R1), 152.00 (R2), 155.20 (R3) <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-wti-daily-chart\"><strong>WTI Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-12.png\" alt=\"US September employment report impact on WTI chart\" class=\"wp-image-91181\" title=\"wti-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 71.15 (S1), 68.00 (S2), 64.20 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 75.50 (R1), 78.70 (R2), 82.10 (R3) <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1999\" height=\"491\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-13.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-91182\" title=\"benchmark-04-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"983\" height=\"572\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-16.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-91185\" title=\"table-04-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"1106\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-14.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-91183\" title=\"morning-releases-04-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"365\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-15.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-91184\" title=\"morning-releases-04-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">Se tiver alguma d\u00favida ou coment\u00e1rios sobre este artigo, solicitamos que envie um email diretamente para a nossa equipa de Research atrav\u00e9s do <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Isen\u00e7\u00e3o de responsabilidade:<br>Esta informa\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o \u00e9 considerada como aconselhamento ou recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o ao investimento, mas apenas como comunica\u00e7\u00e3o de marketing. O IronFX n\u00e3o \u00e9 respons\u00e1vel por quaisquer dados ou pela informa\u00e7\u00e3o fornecida por terceiros aqui mencionados, ou com links diretos, nesta comunica\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Today the market is expected to focus on the release of the US employment report for September. The unemployment rate<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-91179","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US September Employment Report in the Epicenter<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"US September employment report in the epicenter as markets watch NFP and jobless data for clues on Fed rate cuts and dollar direction.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91179\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US employment report for September in the epicenter\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"US September employment report in the epicenter as markets watch NFP and jobless data for clues on Fed rate cuts and dollar direction.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/pt\/us-employment-report-for-september-in-the-epicenter\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-10-04T08:22:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-02-09T13:57:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/us-employment-report-for-september-in-the-epicenter\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/us-employment-report-for-september-in-the-epicenter\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"US employment report for September in the epicenter\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-10-04T08:22:19+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-02-09T13:57:00+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/us-employment-report-for-september-in-the-epicenter\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":810,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"pt-PT\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/us-employment-report-for-september-in-the-epicenter\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/us-employment-report-for-september-in-the-epicenter\\\/\",\"name\":\"US September Employment Report in the Epicenter\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-10-04T08:22:19+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-02-09T13:57:00+00:00\",\"description\":\"US September employment report in the epicenter as markets watch NFP and jobless data for clues on Fed rate cuts and dollar direction.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/us-employment-report-for-september-in-the-epicenter\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"pt-PT\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/us-employment-report-for-september-in-the-epicenter\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/us-employment-report-for-september-in-the-epicenter\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"US employment report for September in the epicenter\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/pt\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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