{"id":90765,"date":"2024-09-23T12:13:07","date_gmt":"2024-09-23T09:13:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=90765"},"modified":"2026-02-09T11:54:19","modified_gmt":"2026-02-09T09:54:19","slug":"rba-to-shake-the-aussie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/ph\/rba-to-shake-the-aussie\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA to shake the Aussie"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Today we highlight the release of Eurozone\u2019s preliminary September PMI figures. Main points of focus are the indicators for France\u2019s services sector, Germany\u2019s manufacturing sector and for a rounder view Eurozone\u2019s composite indicator. The main point of market worries for EUR traders is expected to be the manufacturing sector as a whole and especially Germany\u2019s. Should the indicator\u2019s reading imply another, possibly deeper contraction of economic activity it could weigh on the common currency. On the flip side should other sectors and\/or countries be able to compensate and contribute to an increase of economic activity throughout sectors and countries in the Eurozone, we may see some support for the Euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"RBA decision tomorrow\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Nw4rRkTdzCo?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On a technical level, EUR\/USD remained relatively unchanged using the 1.1140 (S1) as support. We tend to maintain a bullish outlook for the pair as long as the upward trendline guiding it since the 12<sup>th<\/sup> of September remains intact. We also note that the RSI indicator is rising, nearing the reading of 70, implying a build up of a bullish sentiment among market participants for the pair. Should the bulls maintain control over the pair as expected, we may see EUR\/USD rising and aiming for the 1.1275 (R1) resistance line. Should the bears take over, we may see the pair, dropping breaking the 1.1140 (S1) support line also breaking the prementioned upward trendline, in a first signal that the upward motion has been interrupted and continue lower aiming for the 1.1010 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>RBA is to release its interest rate decision during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session. The bank is widely expected to remain on hold keeping the Cash rate at 4.35% and currently AUD OIS imply a probability of 94% for such a scenario to materialize, rendering the interest rate part of the decision as an open and shut case. Should the decision be accompanied by a statement implying hawkish intentions we may see the Aussie getting some support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AUD\/USD edged higher during today\u2019s Asian session, aiming for the 0.8870 (R1) resistance line. We tend to maintain a bullish outlook for the pair as long as the upward trendline guiding the pair since the 11<sup>th<\/sup> of September, remains intact. The RSI indicator remains between the reading of 50 and 70, implying that the market mood for the pair tends to remain bullish. Should the buying interest be extended, we may see the pair breaking the 0.6870 (R1) line and start actively aiming for the 0.7030 (R2) level. Should the bears take over, we may see the pair reversing course breaking the prementioned upward trendline, signalling the breaking of the upward motion, breaking the 0.6730 (S1) level and aiming for the 0.6575 (S2) level. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we get UK\u2019s and the US\u2019s preliminary September PMI figures and UK\u2019s CBI trends for industrial orders indicator for September. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we get Japan\u2019s preliminary September PMI figures.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>As for the rest of the week<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Tuesday, we get Germany\u2019s the Ifo indicators for the same month. We also get from Sweden Riksbank\u2019s and the Czech Republic\u2019s CNB interest rate decisions on Wednesday. On Thursday, we get Germany\u2019s GfK Consumer Sentiment for October, Canada\u2019s Business Barometer for October and from the US the Durable goods orders for August, the final GDP rate for Q2 and the weekly initial jobless claims figure and from Switzerland, we get SNB\u2019s interest rate decision. On Friday we get from Japan, Tokyo\u2019s CPI rates for September, France\u2019s preliminary HICP rate for September, Euro Zone\u2019s Business Sentiment for September, UK\u2019s September CBI Indicator for distributive trades, we highlight the US Core and headline PCE index rates and we get also Canada\u2019s GDP rate for July and from the US the final University of Michigan consumer sentiment for September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EUR\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-104.png\" alt=\"EUR\/USD daily chart showing bullish momentum influenced by RBA Aussie and Eurozone PMI\" class=\"wp-image-90766\" title=\"eur-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.1140 (S1), 1.1010 (S2), 1.0890 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1.1275 (R1), 1.1385 (R2), 1.1495 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>AUD\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-105.png\" alt=\"AUD\/USD daily chart reflecting market reaction to RBA Aussie and expected interest rate decision\" class=\"wp-image-90767\" title=\"aud-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 0.6730 (S1), 0.6575 (S2), 0.6445 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 0.6870 (R1), 0.7030 (R2), 0.7150 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"489\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-106.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-90769\" title=\"benchmark-23-09-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"998\" height=\"545\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-109.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-90772\" title=\"table-23-09-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1736\" height=\"1023\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-107.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-90770\" title=\"morning-releases-23-09-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"883\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-108.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-90771\" style=\"width:610px;height:310px\" title=\"morning-releases-23-09-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Today we highlight the release of Eurozone\u2019s preliminary September PMI figures. Main points of focus are the indicators for France\u2019s<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-90765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>RBA Aussie: Eurozone PMI and AUD\/USD outlook<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"RBA Aussie update: Cash rate likely unchanged, AUD\/USD and EUR\/USD trends influenced by hawkish rhetoric and Eurozone PMI figures.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ph\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90765\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RBA to shake the Aussie\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"RBA Aussie update: Cash rate likely unchanged, AUD\/USD and EUR\/USD trends influenced by hawkish rhetoric and Eurozone PMI figures.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/ph\/rba-to-shake-the-aussie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-09-23T09:13:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-02-09T09:54:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/rba-to-shake-the-aussie\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/rba-to-shake-the-aussie\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"RBA to shake the Aussie\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-09-23T09:13:07+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-02-09T09:54:19+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/rba-to-shake-the-aussie\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":742,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"tl\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/rba-to-shake-the-aussie\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/rba-to-shake-the-aussie\\\/\",\"name\":\"RBA Aussie: Eurozone PMI and AUD\\\/USD outlook\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-09-23T09:13:07+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-02-09T09:54:19+00:00\",\"description\":\"RBA Aussie update: Cash rate likely unchanged, AUD\\\/USD and EUR\\\/USD trends influenced by hawkish rhetoric and Eurozone PMI figures.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/rba-to-shake-the-aussie\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"tl\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/rba-to-shake-the-aussie\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/rba-to-shake-the-aussie\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"RBA to shake the Aussie\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ph\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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