{"id":82462,"date":"2024-05-08T11:19:52","date_gmt":"2024-05-08T08:19:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=82462"},"modified":"2024-07-23T11:12:00","modified_gmt":"2024-07-23T08:12:00","slug":"rba-remained-hawkishly-on-hold-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/ph\/rba-remained-hawkishly-on-hold-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Hawkish rhetoric supports USD"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD tended to gain against its counterparts yesterday recovering now fully Friday\u2019s losses from the signals of a cooling US employment market. The release of the US employment report for April, showed an easing US employment market for the past month and enhanced the markets\u2019 expectations for the Fed to start cutting rates, rather sooner than later. Yet there seems to be some consistent hawkish rhetoric on behalf of Fed policymakers that tends to contradict the market sentiment. It\u2019s characteristic that&nbsp; Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari was reported saying on Tuesday that it\u2019s likely that the Fed will keep rates where they are \u201cfor an extended period\u201d until officials are certain price gains are on track to reach their target. Despite Kashkari being a hawk and such statements being expected from him, the statement tends to draw the big picture for the Fed\u2019s intentions. Should there be more statements of the same tone by Fed officials later today, we may see the USD getting additional support, while at the same time, such comments may weigh on US stock markets and gold\u2019s price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"BOJ&#039;s summary of opinions due out tomorrow\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/At9pd1VmIys?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Across the world, we note that JPY seems to have resumed its downward trajectory against its counterparts, in a sign of wider weakness. As noted in last week\u2019s reports, JPY\u2019s weakening was expected as the fundamentals causing it, namely BoJ\u2019s loose monetary policy, remains unchanged. BoJ Governor Ueda, issued a stern warning earlier today that should the fall of the Yen affect prices significantly, the bank will not hesitate to take action. Similar signals of concern were also sent by Japan\u2019s Finance Minister Suzuki, yet the oral market intervention by a wide number of Japanese officials does not seem to support the Yen enough, as USDJPY seems to be entering the zone of another possible market intervention.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet on a technical level, USD\/JPY was allowed to rise further on Tuesday and during today\u2019s Asian session aiming for the 155.80 (R1) resistance line. For the time being, we tend to maintain our bias for the sideways motion to continue, yet note the bullish tendencies of the pair. The RSI indicator has broken above the reading of 50, yet remains still unconvincing for a bullish outlook. Should the bulls find the opportunity and take charge of the pair\u2019s direction we expect USD\/JPY to aim if not break the 155.80 (R1) resistance line, with the next possible target for the bulls being the 158.35 (R2) level. On the flip side should the bears take over, we may see the pair breaking the 153.80 (S1) line and continue to break also the 151.90 (S2) support base.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Having a look at another safe haven\u2019s price action specifically USD\/CHF we note the schematic resemblance of the pair with USD\/CHF, yet with lower intensity. The pair edged up yesterday and during today\u2019s Asian session yet the bullish outlook seems to have been broken. The pair\u2019s price action has broken the lower boundary of the upward channel that used to steer the pair since the 28<sup>th<\/sup> of December, hence we tend to switch our bullish outlook in favor of a sideways motion. The RSI indicator tends to remain close to the reading of 50 also implying a rather indecisive market and despite the 100 MA average crossing over the 200 MA, the 20 MA seems to have flattened out. Should the bulls find the opportunity and take charge of the pair\u2019s direction we expect USD\/CHF to aim if not break the 0.9155 (R1) resistance line, with the next possible target for the bulls being the 0.9295 (R2) resistance level. On the flip side should the bears take over, we may see the pair breaking the 0.9000 (S1) support line and continue to break also the 0.8885 (S2) support base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In today\u2019s European session, we note the release of Germany\u2019s industrial output for March and from Sweden Riksbanks\u2019 interest rate decision and in the American session, oil traders may be interested in the release of the weekly EIA crude oil inventories figure. On the monetary front, we note the speeches of Fed Vice Chair Jefferson, Boston Fed President Collins and Fed Board Governor Cook, while during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session we note the release of BoJ\u2019s summary of opinions for the April meeting .<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-daily-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-23.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and fifty three point eight and resistance at one hundred and fifty five point eight, direction sideways   \" class=\"wp-image-82463\" title=\"usd-jpy-one-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 153.80 (S1), 151.90 (S2), 149.00 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 155.80 (R1), 158.35 (R2), 160.35 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-chf-daily-chart\"><strong>USD\/CHF Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-24.png\" alt=\"support at zero point nine and resistance at zero point nine one five five, direction sideways\" class=\"wp-image-82464\" title=\"usd-chf-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 0.9000 (S1), 0.8885 (S2), 0.8730 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 0.9155 (R1), 0.9295 (R2), 0.9440 (R3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1990\" height=\"490\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-25.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-82465\" title=\"benchmark-08-05-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"985\" height=\"561\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-27.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-82467\" title=\"table-08-05-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1646\" height=\"1125\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-26.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-82466\" title=\"morning-releases-08-05-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD tended to gain against its counterparts yesterday recovering now fully Friday\u2019s losses from the signals of a cooling<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-82462","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Hawkish Rhetoric Strengthens USD Significantly<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USD rebounds on cooling employment market. 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