{"id":129919,"date":"2026-04-17T13:00:48","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T10:00:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=129919"},"modified":"2026-04-17T13:10:01","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T10:10:01","slug":"peace-deal-on-the-horizon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/ph\/peace-deal-on-the-horizon\/","title":{"rendered":"Peace deal on the horizon?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Peace deal on the horizon? Oil prices may face renewed downside pressure as optimism grows around a possible US-Iran agreement and the reopening of the Straits of Hormuz. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, the USD remains under pressure amid improving risk sentiment, US equities hover near record highs, and gold stays steady as markets await fresh central bank signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-prospects-for-talks-may-weigh-on-oil-prices\"><strong><strong><strong>Prospects for talks may weigh on oil prices<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Oil prices edged higher during today\u2019s Asian session. We still see the case for some bearish tendencies on a fundamental level, as the prospects for a US-Iranian peace deal and subsequently an opening of the Straits of Hormuz seem to grow. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We may have further progress during the weekend on the negotiations and if so, we may see oil prices losing ground. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the flip side should the two sides fail to make progress and market worries start growing again, we may see oil prices gaining some ground.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-low-volatility-in-the-fx-market\"><strong><strong><strong>Low volatility in the FX market<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The FX market is experiencing low volatility and the USD is about to end a second week in the reds as its safe haven status tends to weigh, given the improvement of the market mood. We tend to maintain some worries for the GBP as pressure on UK PM Starmer to resign is mounting and political instability may rise in the UK. On the other hand, market expectations for the ECB to hike rates may support the EUR.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-us-stock-markets-prepare-to-end-the-week-at-record-high-levels\"><strong><strong><strong>US stock markets prepare to end the week at record high levels<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>US equities seem to remain confident as the week draws to a close given that major US stock market indexes remained at record high levels. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We also note that Netflix\u2019s earnings report may have disappointed traders, as despite beating market expectations for the EPS and revenue figures of Q126, its forward guidance for Q226 is weak and Chairman and Co-founder Hastings is stepping down after twenty years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gold-s-price-remains-steady\"><strong><strong><strong>Gold\u2019s price remains steady<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold prices remained relatively stable yesterday and in today\u2019s Asian session, maybe with some mild gains for the week. We still see as a major factor behind gold\u2019s price the Fed\u2019s intentions and the direction of the USD. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Signals for a possible tightening of the Fed\u2019s monetary policy could weigh on gold\u2019s price and vice versa, yet the market interest for the precious metal remains tepid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-today\"><strong>Other highlights for today<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In an easy-going Friday, we note the release of Euro Zone\u2019s current account balance for February and from Canada we get the number of House starts for March. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a monetary level, we note that BoE\u2019s Breeden and Pill, ECB\u2019s Buch and the Fed\u2019s Daly, Barkin and Waller are scheduled to speak. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During Monday\u2019s Asian session, we note the release of New Zealand\u2019s trade data for March, UK\u2019s House prices by Rightmove for April and from China PBoC\u2019s interest rate decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-charts-to-keep-an-eye-out\"><strong>Charts to keep an eye out<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-wti\"><strong>WTI<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/uncertainty-in-the-markets-remains\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>WTI<\/strong>\u2019s price<\/a> edged a tat bit higher in today\u2019s Asian session, after yesterday\u2019s gains, remaining near the 93.80 (R1) resistance line. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The RSI indicator remained near the reading of 50, implying a rather indecisive market, and the downward trendline guiding WTI\u2019s price action since the 7<sup>th<\/sup> of April is put to the test today, suggesting a make or break position of WTI\u2019s price action. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should WTI\u2019s price action follow the downward trendline\u2019s command we would maintain our bearish outlook and expect WTI\u2019s price to near if not breach the 87.10 (S1) support line. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should the bulls take over we may see WTI\u2019s price breaking the prementioned downward trendline, the 93.80 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 100.90 (R2) resistance level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-cad\"><strong><strong>USD\/CAD<\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>USD\/CAD<\/strong> continued to weaken yesterday and during today\u2019s Asian session, breaking clearly the 1.3720 (R1) support line, now turned to resistance. We maintain a bearish outlook for the pair, given also that the RSI indicator is nearing the reading of 30. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should the bears maintain control as expected, we set as the next possible target for USD\/CAD bears the 1.3520 (S1) support line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should the bulls take over we may see USD\/CAD reversing direction, breaking the prementioned downward trendline, the 1.3720 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 1.3880 (R2) resistance base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"525\" height=\"511\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/calendar-04172026-economic-news-forex-calendar.png\" alt=\"Table listing economic releases for Friday and Monday, detailing time, region, indicator, impact, and target currency.\" class=\"wp-image-129920\" style=\"aspect-ratio:0.8388956028632518;width:610px;height:auto\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"831\" height=\"202\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/benchmark-04172026-currency-rates-table.png\" alt=\"Horizontal bar chart showing daily currency rate changes: USD\/JPY gained 0.45%, and GBP\/USD lost 0.42%.\" class=\"wp-image-129921\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-wti-daily-chart\"><strong>WTI Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1916\" height=\"888\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/wti-cash-daily-04172026-charts-currency-rates.png\" alt=\"Daily candlestick chart for WTI Cash crude oil as of April 17, 2026. The price is currently 92.93, retreating from a March peak of approximately 119.50.\" class=\"wp-image-129922\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 87.10 (S1), 82.00 (S2), 76.60 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 93.80 (R1), 100.90 (R2), 107.00 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-cad-daily-chart\"><strong><strong><strong><strong>USD\/CAD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1916\" height=\"888\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/usd-cad-daily-04172026-charts-currency-rates.png\" alt=\"Daily candlestick chart for the USD\/CAD currency pair as of April 17, 2026. The price is currently 1.36812, showing a recent downward trend after failing to hold levels above 1.3900.\" class=\"wp-image-129923\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.3550 (S1), 1.3420 (S2), 1.3285 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1.3720 (R1), 1.3880 (R2), 1.4020 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD weakened despite favorable data The selling momentum for the USD in the FX market was maintained yesterday, given the<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":107933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-129919","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Peace deal on the horizon? 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