{"id":92742,"date":"2024-10-21T11:50:22","date_gmt":"2024-10-21T08:50:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=92742"},"modified":"2024-10-21T11:50:43","modified_gmt":"2024-10-21T08:50:43","slug":"trump-trades-re-emerge-as-china-lowers-interest-rates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/nl\/trump-trades-re-emerge-as-china-lowers-interest-rates\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump trades re-emerge as China lowers interest rates"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In a rather easing going Monday, given the lack of high-impact financial releases, we expect fundamentals to lead the way for the FX market. The USD slipped on Friday, yet as the week begins market analysts highlight that the USD may remain afloat from the support it gets from the Trump trades. Practically the market seems to be increasingly pricing in the possibility of Donald Trump getting elected and follow an isolationist economic policy with extensive tariffs to be placed on US imports, which in turn tends to support the USD while on the flip side it could weigh on emerging markets. Predictions tend imply a tight race between Trump and Harris for the time being. The US Presidential elections are nearing as we have only three weeks to go and increasingly affecting the markets.\u00a0 Furthermore, the high uncertainty of the outcome of the presidential elections may be generating safe haven inflows for the greenback, given also that the stakes are high.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Fed speakers in the spotlight today\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/VA1a4BzTnOo?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>AUD\/USD remained still during today\u2019s Asian session, after hitting a ceiling on the 0.6715 (R1) resistance line on Friday. The downward trendline guiding the pair has been broken hence we maintain a sideways motion bias for the time being. Should the bears regain control over the pair, we may see the pair reversing course, surpassing Thursday\u2019s low point and renew its aiming for the 0.6575(S1) support line. Should the bulls take over, we may see the pair breaking the 0.6715 (R1) resistance line and start aiming if not breaking the 0.6825 (R2) resistance base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a deeper fundamental level, we also note that PBoC cut its one- and five-year loan prime rates by 25 basis points each during today\u2019s Asian session. It should be noted that the People\u2019s Bank of China announced a reduction of its reserve requirement ratio by half a percent and the benchmark seven-day reverse repo rate by 20 basis points on Sept. 24, which some analysts are regarding as maybe the most aggressive post pandemic stimulus, including measures to support the much troubled property sector and increase consumption, as per media. Today\u2019s rate cut was in continuance of China\u2019s efforts to boost its economy, yet it remains to be seen whether the markets will consider the move as sufficient as doubts linger on. Should the rate cut satisfy the markets we may see riskier assets getting some support as more risk on approach may emerge among market participants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we get Germany\u2019s September producer prices while Dallas Fed President Logan and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari are scheduled to speak. During tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we get New Zealand\u2019s trade data for September, while Kansas Fed President Schmid and RBNZ Ass Governor Silk speak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NZD\/USD seems to maintain a sideways motion between the 0.6095 (R1) resistance line and the 0.6045 (S1) support line. We tend to maintain our bias for the sideways motion, as long as the pair\u2019s price action respects the prementioned levels. Yet we also note that the RSI indicator is over but near the reading of 30 implying a rather bearish sentiment for the pair, hence some bearish tendencies may exist which could drag it lower. Should the bears come in control over the pair\u2019s direction, we may see NZD\/USD breaking the 0.6045 (S1) support line and aiming for the 0.5985 (S2) support level. Should the bulls take over, we may see NZD\/USD breaking the 0.6095 (R1) resistance line and aiming for the 0.6150 (R2) resistance level.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-as-for-the-rest-of-the-week\"><strong>As for the rest of the week:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Tuesday we get Canada\u2019s PPI rates for September and on Wednesday Eurozone\u2019s preliminary consumer confidence for October. On Thursday we get the preliminary October PMIs for Australia, Japan, France, Germany, the Eurozone as a whole, the UK and the US, as well as France\u2019s business climate for October and the US weekly initial jobless claims figure. On Friday we get from Japan Tokyo\u2019s CPI rates for October, Germany\u2019s Ifo indicators for the same month and Canada\u2019s retail sales for August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-aud-usd-daily-chart\"><strong>AUD\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-97.png\" alt=\"support at zero point six five seven and resistance at six seven one five, direction sideways      \" class=\"wp-image-92744\" title=\"aud-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 0.6575 (S1), 0.6475 (S2), 0.6365 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 0.6715 (R1), 0.6825 (R2), 0.6940 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-nzd-usd-daily-chart\"><strong>NZD\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-98.png\" alt=\"support at zero point six zero four five and resistance at zero point six zero nine five, direction sideways    \" class=\"wp-image-92745\" title=\"nzd-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 0.6045 (S1), 0.5985 (S2), 0.5940 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 0.6095 (R1), 0.6150 (R2), 0.6220 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"493\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-99.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-92746\" title=\"benchmark-21-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"993\" height=\"560\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-101.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-92748\" title=\"table-21-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"1104\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-100.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-92747\" title=\"morning-releases-21-10-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In a rather easing going Monday, given the lack of high-impact financial releases, we expect fundamentals to lead the way<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-92742","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forex blog - IronFX\u2122 | The Global Leader In Online Trading<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/nl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92742\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"nl_NL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump trades re-emerge as China lowers interest rates\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This report is about to discuss recent issues in the financial markets as well as comment on possible further possible developments, all being on a fundamental level, provide a calendar with upcoming financial releases and conclude with a technical analysis of two trading instruments to compliment the proceeding fundamental analysis.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/nl\/trump-trades-re-emerge-as-china-lowers-interest-rates\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-10-21T08:50:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-10-21T08:50:43+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/nl\\\/trump-trades-re-emerge-as-china-lowers-interest-rates\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/nl\\\/trump-trades-re-emerge-as-china-lowers-interest-rates\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/nl\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Trump trades re-emerge as China lowers interest rates\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-10-21T08:50:22+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-10-21T08:50:43+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/nl\\\/trump-trades-re-emerge-as-china-lowers-interest-rates\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":776,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/nl\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"nl-NL\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/nl\\\/trump-trades-re-emerge-as-china-lowers-interest-rates\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/nl\\\/trump-trades-re-emerge-as-china-lowers-interest-rates\\\/\",\"name\":\"Forex blog - 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