{"id":89876,"date":"2024-08-26T11:19:06","date_gmt":"2024-08-26T08:19:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=89876"},"modified":"2026-02-09T16:20:41","modified_gmt":"2026-02-09T14:20:41","slug":"usds-weakening-renewed-after-dovish-signals-by-powell","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/ms\/usds-weakening-renewed-after-dovish-signals-by-powell\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\u2019s weakening renewed after dovish signals by Powell"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD restarted its weakening against its counterparts on Friday as Fed Chairman Powell\u2019s speech indicated that interest rate cuts lay ahead for the Fed, in his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/speech\/files\/powell20240823a.pdf\">speech<\/a> regarding the US economic outlook and the Fed\u2019s monetary policy at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. It\u2019s characteristic that the Fed Chairman was reported stating that \u2018The time has come for policy to adjust\u2019. Yet we have to also note that the market\u2019s dovish expectations are extensive and have intensified, as they are now including a 25-basis points rate cut in September a 50-basis points rate cut in November and another single 25-basis points rate cut in December. Overall, we see the case for the USD to continue to weaken on a monetary policy level. The event practically improved the market sentiment keeping US stockmarkets supported, while gold\u2019s price also was able to benefit from USD\u2019s weakening, highlighting the negative correlation of the two trading instruments.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"USD weakening renewed after dovish signals from Powell\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/hatwgnjKkQQ?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY dropped on Friday and during today\u2019s Asian session tested the 143.40 (S1) support line. We tend to maintain our bearish outlook as the price action shifted the downward trendline guiding the pair since the 16<sup>th<\/sup> of August, to the right allowing for its validity to be maintained. We also note that the RSI indicator remained just above the reading of 30, implying a strong bearish market sentiment for the pair. Should the bears maintain control over the pair, we may see USD\/JPY breaking the 143.40 (S1) support line and taking aim at the 140.30 (S2) support base. Should the bulls find a chance and take over, we may see USD\/JPY breaking the prementioned downward trendline in a first signal of a trend reversal and continue to break the 146.00 (R1) resistance line, aiming for higher grounds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD rose on Friday breaking the 1.1140 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. We maintain our bullish outlook for the pair as the upward trendline guiding it since the 2<sup>nd<\/sup> of June remains intact. Please note that the RSI indicator remains above the reading of 30 which on the hand highlights the strong bullish sentiment among market participants for the pair yet on the flip side may imply that the pair has reached overbought levels and may be ripe for a correction lower. Should the buying interest be maintained we may see EUR\/USD aiming if not breaching the 1.1275 (R1) resistance line. For a bearish outlook we would require the pair to reverse direction, break the 1.1140 (S1) support base clearly, break the prementioned upward trendline and start testing if not breaching the 1.1010 (S2) support level.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we get Germany\u2019s Ifo indicators for August and the US durable goods orders growth rate for July. In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we get China\u2019s Industrial Profit for July.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-as-for-the-rest-of-the-week\"><strong>As for the rest of the week:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Tuesday we get UK\u2019s CBI distributive trades and the US consumer confidence, both for August. On Wednesday we get from Australia July\u2019s CPI rates for July. On Thursday we get Australia\u2019s Capital Expenditure for Q2, Sweden\u2019s final GDP rate for Q2, Eurozone\u2019s Business Climate for August, Canada\u2019s Business Barometer for the same month, Germany\u2019s preliminary HICP rate for August and from the US we highlight the release of the second estimate for the GDP rate for Q2 and also note weekly initial jobless claims while from Canada we get the current account balance for Q2. On Friday we get from Japan Tokyo\u2019s CPI rates for August, Australia\u2019s retail sales for July, France\u2019s final GDP rate for Q2 and preliminary CPI rates for August, Switzerland\u2019s KOF indicator for the same month, UK\u2019s nationwide house prices for August, the Czech Republic\u2019s final GDP for Q2, Eurozone\u2019s preliminary HICP rate for August, the US consumption rate for July, the US Core PCE price Index for July, Canada\u2019s GDP rates for Q2 and the final US UoM consumer sentiment for August and on Saturday China\u2019s NBS PMI figures for August.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-jpy-daily-chart\"><strong>USD\/JPY Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/image-100.png\" alt=\"USD weakening renewed impact on USD\/JPY chart\" class=\"wp-image-89877\" title=\"usd-jpy-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 143.40 (S1), 140.30 (S2), 137.25 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 146.00 (R1), 148.90 (R2), 151.90 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-daily-chart\"><strong>EUR\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/image-101.png\" alt=\"USD weakening renewed impact on EUR\/USD chart\" class=\"wp-image-89878\" title=\"eur-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.1140 (S1), 1.1010 (S2), 1.0890 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1.1275 (R1), 1.1490 (R2), 1.1690 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"493\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/image-102.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-89879\" title=\"benchmark-26-08-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"990\" height=\"569\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/image-104.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-89881\" title=\"table-26-08-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1737\" height=\"849\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/image-103.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-89880\" title=\"morning-releases-26-08-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD restarted its weakening against its counterparts on Friday as Fed Chairman Powell\u2019s speech indicated that interest rate cuts<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-89876","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>USD Weakening Renewed After Dovish Powell Signals<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USD weakening renewed 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