{"id":85953,"date":"2024-06-17T11:26:10","date_gmt":"2024-06-17T08:26:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=85953"},"modified":"2024-06-17T16:38:55","modified_gmt":"2024-06-17T13:38:55","slug":"rbas-interest-rate-decision-in-focus-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/ms\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-in-focus-3\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision in focus"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In the land of the down under, we highlight&nbsp; RBA\u2019s interest rate decision which is to be released during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session. The majority of market participants are currently anticipating the bank to remain on hold, with AUD OIS currently implying a 97.4% probability for such a scenario to occur. It should be noted that the market also expects the bank to marginally remain on hold throughout the year, maybe proceed with a rate cut in December. Hence our attention turns to the bank\u2019s accompanying statement, where should RBA policymakers imply that the bank may cut interest rates this year, it could weigh on the Aussie. On the flip side, should it be implied that the bank may keep interest rates high for a greater period of time, it could instead provide support for the Aussie. On a fundamental level, one could argue that the slight tightening of Australia\u2019s employment market as implies by May\u2019s data and the fact that in April the CPI rates were still above the bank\u2019s target range could allow the bank to remain confidently hawkish, yet economic activity is easing and may add pressure on RBA to ease its hawkishness.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"RBA decision tomorrow\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/zPqRCd67LCg?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>AUD\/USD seems to be edging lower briefly breaking the 0.6595 (R1) support line for now turned to resistance. Overall though the sideways motion of the pair seems to be continued and we also note that the RSI indicator seems to have breached below the reading of 50, yet remains close thus implying that the market seems to remain rather indecisive about the direction of the pair\u2019s next leg. For a bearish outlook, we would require the pair\u2019s price action to place more distance between itself and the 0.6595 (R1) resistance line in order to break the level clearly and start aiming if not breaching the 0.6445 (S1) support base. On the flip side, for a bullish outlook the bar seems to be high as we would require the pair to break above the 0.6595 (R1) and continue to break also the 0.6715 (R2) resistance level and thus pave the way for the 0.6870 (R3) resistance barrier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we note of Canada\u2019s House Starts for May and New York\u2019s Fed Manufacturing for June while on the monetary front, we note that ECB\u2019s Chief Economist Lane and Vice President De Guindos as well as Philadelphia Fed President Harker are scheduled to speak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/CAD remained in a sideways motion just below the 1.3755 (R1) resistance line. We tend to maintain a bias for the sideways motion to continue given also that the RSI indicator continues to run along the reading of 50, implying a rather indecisive market for the pair\u2019s direction. At the same time, we also note some bullish tendencies, as the 20, 100 and 200 moving averages have an upward inclination implying the presence of a residue of bullishness among market participants. Yet for a bullish outlook, we would require the pair to clearly break the 1.3755 (R1) resistance ceiling and aim if not breach the 1.3895 (R2) resistance level. Should the bears take over, we may see the pair breaking the 1.3610 (S1) support line clearly and take aim clearly the 1.3460 (S2) support level.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-as-for-the-rest-of-the-week\"><strong>As for the rest of the week:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Tuesday we get Germany\u2019s ZEW economic sentiment figure for June, followed by the US retail sales rate for May and US industrial production rate for May as well. On&nbsp; Wednesday we get Japan\u2019s trade balance figure and the UK\u2019s CPI rate both for May. On Thursday we get New Zealand\u2019s GDP rate for Q1, the US weekly initial jobless claims figure, US Philly Fed business index figure for June and the Eurozone\u2019s preliminary consumer confidence figure for June as well. On Thursday\u2019s European session on the monetary front we note the interest rate decisions of Norgesbank, SNB and BoE. On Friday, we get the preliminary PMI figures for June of Australia, Japan, the UK the Eurozone and the US as well as UK\u2019s retail sales rate for May, followed by Canada\u2019s retail sales rate for April. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-aud-usd-daily-chart\"><strong>AUD\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-61.png\" alt=\"support at zero point six four four five and resistance at zero point six five nine five, direction sideways \" class=\"wp-image-85960\" title=\"aud-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 0.6445 (S1), 0.6285 (S2), 0.6170 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 0.6595 (R1), 0.6715 (R2), 0.6870 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-usd-cad-daily-chart\"><strong>USD\/CAD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"452\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-62.png\" alt=\"support at one point three six one and resistance at one point three seven five five, direction sideways \" class=\"wp-image-85961\" title=\"usd-cad-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 1.3610 (S1), 1.3460 (S2), 1.335 (S3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 1.3755 (R1), 1.3895 (R2), 1.4050 (R3) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1997\" height=\"490\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-63.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-85963\" title=\"benchmark-17-06-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"970\" height=\"559\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-65.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-85966\" title=\"table-17-06-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1650\" height=\"1127\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-64.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-85965\" title=\"morning-releases-17-06-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Disclaimer:<br>This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the land of the down under, we highlight\u00a0 RBA\u2019s interest rate decision which is to be released during tomorrow\u2019s<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-85953","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>RBA\u2019s interest rate decision in focus<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A detailed market analysis regarding the RBA&#039;s interest rate decision and the technical outlook for AUD\/USD and USD\/CAD pairs.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85953\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ms_MY\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision in focus\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A detailed market analysis regarding the RBA&#039;s interest rate decision and the technical outlook for AUD\/USD and USD\/CAD pairs.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/ms\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-in-focus-3\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-06-17T08:26:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-06-17T13:38:55+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-in-focus-3\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-in-focus-3\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision in focus\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-06-17T08:26:10+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-06-17T13:38:55+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-in-focus-3\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":789,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"ms-MY\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-in-focus-3\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-in-focus-3\\\/\",\"name\":\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision in focus\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-06-17T08:26:10+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-06-17T13:38:55+00:00\",\"description\":\"A detailed market analysis regarding the RBA's interest rate decision and the technical outlook for AUD\\\/USD and USD\\\/CAD pairs.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-in-focus-3\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"ms-MY\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-in-focus-3\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/rbas-interest-rate-decision-in-focus-3\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"RBA\u2019s interest rate decision in focus\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ms\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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