{"id":35932,"date":"2022-08-11T10:00:02","date_gmt":"2022-08-11T07:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=35932"},"modified":"2024-02-05T16:52:49","modified_gmt":"2024-02-05T14:52:49","slug":"oil-report-bulls-to-disrupt-current-stabilisation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/id\/oil-report-bulls-to-disrupt-current-stabilisation\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil Report: Bulls to disrupt current stabilisation?"},"content":{"rendered":"

WTI\u2019s<\/strong> price<\/strong> was on the rise<\/strong> yesterday, yet overall seems to remain<\/strong> rather stable<\/strong> yet at lower<\/strong> levels<\/strong> than our last<\/strong> report<\/strong><\/a> as the price<\/strong> remains<\/strong> near $90<\/strong> per barrel<\/strong>. It should be noted that the data released related to the US<\/strong> oil<\/strong> market<\/strong> tended to show a slack<\/strong>, as the EIA<\/strong> yesterday, showed that the was a built<\/strong> up<\/strong> of oil<\/strong> inventories<\/strong> in the US<\/strong> over the past week<\/strong> of 5.458<\/strong> million<\/strong> barrels<\/strong>. Also the API<\/strong> weekly<\/strong> crude<\/strong> oil<\/strong> inventories<\/strong> figure last Tuesday<\/strong>, reported a built<\/strong> up<\/strong> of oil<\/strong> inventories<\/strong> for the past week, yet lower, at 2.156<\/strong> million<\/strong> barrels<\/strong>. Also we would note that last Friday the Baker<\/strong> Hughes<\/strong> oil<\/strong> rig<\/strong> count<\/strong> showed that the number of active oil rigs in the US<\/strong> dropped by 7 reaching 598<\/strong> which could be an indication<\/strong> of lower<\/strong> demand<\/strong> levels<\/strong>. Overall the figures<\/strong> stemming<\/strong> from the US seem to show that demand<\/strong> levels<\/strong> were not able<\/strong> to reach<\/strong> production<\/strong> of oil<\/strong>, which could have kept<\/strong> oil<\/strong> prices<\/strong> at relatively<\/strong> rendah<\/strong> levels<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

High Gasoline Demand and weak dollar support oil prices<\/strong><\/h2>\n

On the other hand, we highlight the drop<\/strong> of gasoline<\/strong> inventories<\/strong> levels,<\/strong> as drawdown of almost -5 million barrels<\/strong> was reported<\/strong>. The release<\/strong> implied a tinggi<\/strong> demand<\/strong> for gasoline<\/strong> that could be translated<\/strong> to higher<\/strong> demand<\/strong> for crude<\/strong> oil<\/strong> in the future<\/strong> given that the demand<\/strong> levels <\/strong>for gasoline<\/strong> surpassed<\/strong> production<\/strong> and could force<\/strong> refineries<\/strong> to faster<\/strong> production<\/strong> levels<\/strong>. At the same time a Reuters<\/strong> report tended to imply that strong<\/strong> energy<\/strong> consumption<\/strong> is expected for the second<\/strong> half<\/strong> of the year that could boost<\/strong> oil<\/strong> prices<\/strong> in the coming<\/strong> months<\/strong> if realised. Also on a fundamental<\/strong> level<\/strong> we note that the US<\/strong> CPI<\/strong> rates<\/strong> for July<\/strong> dropped<\/strong> weakening<\/strong> the USD<\/strong>, which may also support<\/strong> the dollar<\/strong> denominated<\/strong> commodity<\/strong>\u2019s price<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Druzhba pipeline resumes oil flow<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The news that flow of oil<\/strong> from Russia<\/strong> to Europe<\/strong> has resumed through the Druzhba<\/strong> pipeline<\/strong> may have helped to keep<\/strong> oil<\/strong> prices<\/strong> at rendah<\/strong> levels<\/strong>. It should be noted that the flow <\/strong>was disrupted <\/strong>at the southern part <\/strong>of the pipeline <\/strong>which was going through Ukraine <\/strong>to parts <\/strong>of central Europe<\/strong>. The disruption <\/strong>occurred about a month ago <\/strong>and had intensified worries <\/strong>for the supply <\/strong>of the commodity <\/strong>to Europe <\/strong>which could intensify the energy crisis <\/strong>in the continent<\/strong>. The resumption <\/strong>of supplies <\/strong>tended to ease market worries <\/strong>about the supply side <\/strong>of the commodity <\/strong>and thus may have not allowed oil prices <\/strong>to ascend higher<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Iran nuclear deal near <\/strong><\/h2>\n

Also on a fundamental<\/strong> level<\/strong>, we note that the US<\/strong> dan Iran<\/strong> seem to be nearing<\/strong> a possible<\/strong> deal<\/strong> for the continuation<\/strong> of Iran\u2019s<\/strong> nuclear<\/strong> program<\/strong>. The two<\/strong> sides<\/strong> seem to be nearing an agreement<\/strong> on restoring<\/strong> Iran\u2019s<\/strong> 2015<\/strong> nuclear<\/strong> deal<\/strong>, after another round of talks<\/strong> practically<\/strong> ended<\/strong> with a final<\/strong> text<\/strong> being drawn<\/strong> by the EU<\/strong>. Despite some Iranian<\/strong> objections<\/strong> to the text<\/strong>, there is some slight<\/strong> optimism<\/strong> that the two<\/strong> sides<\/strong> will be reaching<\/strong> an agreement<\/strong>. For the time being the text<\/strong> has been forwarded<\/strong> to the capitals<\/strong> for approval<\/strong>, which is to be another risky<\/strong> process<\/strong>. Should the two<\/strong> sides<\/strong> actually<\/strong> reach<\/strong> a deal<\/strong>, we may see oil<\/strong> prices<\/strong> dropping<\/strong> as the agreement<\/strong> would allow<\/strong> Iran<\/strong> to re-enter<\/strong> the global<\/strong> oil<\/strong> market<\/strong> as a major<\/strong> international<\/strong> supplier<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

OPEC\u2019s monthly report <\/strong><\/h2>\n

Also today<\/strong> we note the release<\/strong> of the OPEC<\/strong> monthly<\/strong> report<\/strong> that could interest<\/strong> oil<\/strong> traders<\/strong>. It should be noted that the OPEC<\/strong> Monthly<\/strong> Oil (Minyak)<\/strong> Market<\/strong> Report<\/strong> (MOMR) discusses major<\/strong> issues<\/strong> affecting the world<\/strong> oil<\/strong> market<\/strong> especially in regards to expected demand<\/strong> dan production<\/strong> levels<\/strong> for the coming year<\/strong> as well as the oil<\/strong> market<\/strong> balance<\/strong>, which could affect the market\u2019s<\/strong> mood<\/strong> for the commodity\u2019s<\/strong> price<\/strong>, as it would allow<\/strong> for an insight<\/strong> in the possible<\/strong> actions<\/strong> of the organization<\/strong>. Should the report show a meagre<\/strong> increase<\/strong> in the global<\/strong> demand<\/strong> for oil<\/strong> being<\/strong> anticipated<\/strong>, we may see the commodity\u2019s<\/strong> price<\/strong> dropping<\/strong>, while a tightness<\/strong> in expected<\/strong> production<\/strong> levels<\/strong> could push oil<\/strong> prices<\/strong> higher<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Analisis Teknikal<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

WTI H4<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

\"wti-oil-4h-chart-11-08-2022-technical-analysis\"<\/p>\n

WTI\u2019s<\/strong> price<\/strong> retreated<\/strong> at some point below<\/strong> the reading of $90<\/strong> per<\/strong> barrel<\/strong>, yet seems to remain rather<\/strong> stable<\/strong> near that level<\/strong> currently<\/strong>. It\u2019s characteristic that the commodity\u2019s<\/strong> price<\/strong> remained<\/strong> in a sideways<\/strong> movement<\/strong> between the 92.00<\/strong> (R1) resistance<\/strong> line<\/strong> and the 82.45<\/strong> (S1) support<\/strong> line<\/strong>, since the 3rd<\/sup> of August. We tend to maintain our bias<\/strong> for a sideways<\/strong> movement<\/strong> of WTI\u2019s<\/strong> price<\/strong> currently and as long as the price<\/strong> action<\/strong> respects the prementioned<\/strong> levels<\/strong>. On the other hand, we highlight<\/strong> that the commodity\u2019s<\/strong> price<\/strong> is on a collision<\/strong> course<\/strong> with the downward<\/strong> trendline<\/strong> that has been guiding<\/strong> WTI\u2019s<\/strong> price<\/strong> action<\/strong> since the\u00a0 14th<\/sup> of June. It should be noted that the RSI<\/strong> indicator<\/strong> below our 4-hour chart<\/strong> is running<\/strong> along<\/strong> the reading<\/strong> of 50<\/strong> also implying<\/strong> a rather<\/strong> indecisive<\/strong> market<\/strong> for the time being. Should bulls<\/strong> take over the initiative for WTI\u2019s<\/strong> price<\/strong>, we may see it breaking<\/strong> the 92.00<\/strong> (R1) resistance<\/strong> line<\/strong> which forms<\/strong> the upper<\/strong> boundary<\/strong> of its current<\/strong> sideways<\/strong> motion<\/strong> and aims for the 98.20<\/strong> (R2) level<\/strong> that provided resistance<\/strong> on the 26th<\/sup> and 28th<\/sup> of July. Even higher<\/strong> we note the 103.00<\/strong> (R3) resistance<\/strong> barrier<\/strong> that was aimed for on the 8th<\/sup> of July. Should the bears<\/strong> be in charge<\/strong> of the commodity\u2019s<\/strong> price<\/strong>, we may see it breaking the 87.00<\/strong> (S1) support<\/strong> line<\/strong> that is currently the lower<\/strong> boundary<\/strong> of its sideways<\/strong> movement<\/strong> and take aim for the 82.45<\/strong>\u00a0 (S2) support<\/strong> level<\/strong>, while even lower we note the 77.50<\/strong> (S3) support<\/strong> hurdle<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n

Disclaimer:<\/b><\/p>\n

This information is not considered investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

WTI\u2019s price was on the rise yesterday, yet overall seems to remain rather…<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[404,380,403],"class_list":["post-35932","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-oil-and-gas","tag-oil-market","tag-oil-price","blog-category-commodities","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nOil Report: Bulls to disrupt current stabilisation<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This report will outline the most important and recent updates from the Oil market along with our observations of WTI from technical analysis\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35932\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"id_ID\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Oil Report: Bulls to disrupt current stabilisation?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This report will outline the most important and recent updates from the Oil market along with our observations of WTI from technical analysis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/id\/oil-report-bulls-to-disrupt-current-stabilisation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-08-11T07:00:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-02-05T14:52:49+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/oil-report-bulls-to-disrupt-current-stabilisation\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/oil-report-bulls-to-disrupt-current-stabilisation\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Oil Report: Bulls to disrupt current stabilisation?\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-08-11T07:00:02+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-02-05T14:52:49+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/oil-report-bulls-to-disrupt-current-stabilisation\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":984,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"oil and gas\",\"oil market\",\"oil price\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"id\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/oil-report-bulls-to-disrupt-current-stabilisation\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/oil-report-bulls-to-disrupt-current-stabilisation\\\/\",\"name\":\"Oil Report: Bulls to disrupt current stabilisation\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2022-08-11T07:00:02+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-02-05T14:52:49+00:00\",\"description\":\"This report will outline the most important and recent updates from the Oil market along with our observations of WTI from technical analysis\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/oil-report-bulls-to-disrupt-current-stabilisation\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"id\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/oil-report-bulls-to-disrupt-current-stabilisation\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/oil-report-bulls-to-disrupt-current-stabilisation\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Oil Report: Bulls to disrupt current stabilisation?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/id\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\""Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners' needs. 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