{"id":129887,"date":"2026-04-15T12:32:05","date_gmt":"2026-04-15T09:32:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=129887"},"modified":"2026-04-15T12:55:23","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T09:55:23","slug":"the-market-sees-through-the-us-iran-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/id\/the-market-sees-through-the-us-iran-crisis\/","title":{"rendered":"The market sees through the US-Iran crisis"},"content":{"rendered":"

Despite ongoing tensions between the US and Iran, global markets appear increasingly confident that diplomacy will prevent a prolonged energy disruption, as the market sees through the US-Iran crisis at the current stage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This growing optimism is easing fears over supply risks, pushing oil prices lower while encouraging a broader shift toward risk-on positioning across major asset classes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As sentiment improves, the USD continues to lose ground, US equities extend gains, and Bitcoin struggles to sustain its rebound amid still-muted demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USD continues to weaken<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The USD continued to weaken against its counterparts as the market\u2019s mood seemed to improve further and the USD\u2019s safe-haven status weighed. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We still note though that on a monetary level signals from the Fed and the US Government seem to remain hawkish which may be providing some damage control for the greenback in the FX market. Yet the USD\u2019s safe haven status remains the main catalyst behind its direction currently.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oil prices continue to fall<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The market\u2019s expectations for a fresh round of negotiations between the US and Iran are still present and the market seems to continue to expect that a deal is to be reached, which tends to weigh on oil prices. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

It should be noted, though that the US Navy has turned around sanctioned ships that were trying to exit the Straits of Hormuz. An enhancement of the market\u2019s hopes for a US-Iranian deal could weigh on oil prices further.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US equities rise<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

US equities were on the rise yesterday as the market sentiment improved, allowing a more risk-on approach by the market. The tech sector once again seems to be the main beneficiary. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

As for the earnings season, we note that market focus is expected to be on the release of Bank of America\u2019s and Morgan Stanley\u2019s reports in today\u2019s premarket hours.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin\u2019s rally may be fizzling out<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The strengthening of Bitcoin over the past two days seems to be fizzling out in today\u2019s Asian session. We still remain cautious for the crypto\u2019s upward direction amidst low demand. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We continue to note the crypto king\u2019s weakness to clearly break the $76k mark and start signalling confidence in the crypto market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other highlights for today<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Today we get France\u2019s final HICP rates for March, Euro Zone\u2019s industrial output for February, the US NY Fed Manufacturing index for April, Canada\u2019s manufacturing sales for February and the weekly US EIA crude oil inventories figure. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

On a monetary level, we note that Fed Board Governor Barr, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey, Fed Vice Chair Bowman, ECB Board Member Cipollone, ECB President Christine Lagarde, ECB Board Member Schnabel and RBA Deputy Governor Hauser are scheduled to speak. In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session we note the release of the Australia\u2019s employment data for March and China\u2019s GDP rate for Q126.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Charts to keep an eye out<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

WTI\u2019s <\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

WTI<\/strong>\u2019s price continued to be on the retreat yesterday breaking the 93.80 (R1) support line, now turned to resistance. The price action of WTI forces us to switch our sideways motion bias in favour of a bearish outlook in accordance with yesterday\u2019s report<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We intend to maintain a bearish outlook as long as the downward trendline guiding it remains intact. Should the bears continue to lead WTI\u2019s price action we may see it breaking the 87.10 (S1) support line which has allready been tested during today\u2019s Asian session and continue lower, aiming for the 82.00 (S2) support level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

For a bullish outlook, which we consider currently as a remote scenario, we would require WTI\u2019s price to reverse yesterday\u2019s losses by breaking the 93.80 (R1) resistance line and continue to break also the 100.90 (R2) resistance level.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AUD\/USD<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

AUD\/USD edged higher yesterday and during today\u2019s Asian session, testing the 0.7145 (R1) resistance level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The RSI indicator is on the rise implying an intensifying bullish market sentiment for the pair. Should the bulls maintain control over the pair, we may see the pair breaking the 0.7145 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 0.7280 (R2) resistance level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

For a bearish outlook to emerge, AUD\/USD\u2019s price action has to break to reverse the gains made in the past week and break the 0.6940 (S1) support line and start aiming for the 0.6800 (S2) support base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Economic<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"Horizontal<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

WTI Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"Daily<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Support: 87.10 (S1), 82.00 (S2), 76.60 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Resistance: 93.80 (R1), 100.90 (R2), 107.00 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    AUD\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
    \"Daily<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Support: 0.6940 (S1), 0.6800 (S2), 0.6620 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Resistance: 0.7145 (R1), 0.7280 (R2), 0.7455 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      Disclaimer:
      This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      USD weakened despite favorable data The selling momentum for the USD in the FX market was maintained yesterday, given the<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":107933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-129887","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nThe market sees through the US-Iran crisis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Markets stay optimistic as the market sees through the US-Iran crisis, weakening USD, pushing oil lower, lifting equities.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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