{"id":128974,"date":"2026-03-02T12:50:34","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T10:50:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=128974"},"modified":"2026-03-02T12:50:35","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T10:50:35","slug":"us-iranian-conflict-monopolises-headlines","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/id\/us-iranian-conflict-monopolises-headlines\/","title":{"rendered":"US-Iranian conflict monopolises headlines"},"content":{"rendered":"

The US-Iranian conflict over the weekend monopolises headlines as investors are bracing for the possible impact on the markets<\/a>. Overall, a risk-off sentiment prevails yet the flight to safe-haven instruments such as gold was moderate. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oil prices rallied in today\u2019s opening, as practically the Straits of Hormuz are closed, hindering the oil supply of the international markets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Please note that Iran has not, at least as these lines are written, mined the Straits of Hormuz, a move that would signal a more decisive action. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We note that the rally of oil prices was intense despite OPEC actually announcing over the weekend a modest hike in production levels, which should ease market worries somewhat. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the other hand, the US attack seems to have failed to create cracks in the Iranian regime, which could imply a prolongment of the military conflict or a return to the negotiating table at some point, yet that seems remote currently. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Should we see further escalation in the conflict, we expect the risk-off sentiment of the markets to intensify and oil prices to continue to gain while on the flip side a possible thawing of tensions which at the current stage seems unlikely, could ease the market\u2019s cautious stance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Furthermore, as the market digests the developments, we may see a correction lower for oil prices and gold<\/strong>, while bearish tendencies for riskier assets such as US equities could be tamed. In the FX market, the USD index gained while we note the weakening of the EUR and the JPY<\/strong>, with the former being in a particularly tight spot energy-wise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Today we get UK\u2019s nationwide house prices for February, Germany\u2019s and the UK\u2019s final manufacturing PMI figures for February and the US ISM manufacturing PMI figure for the same month. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

On a monetary level, we note that ECB President Christine Lagarde, BoC Deputy Governor Kozicki and RBA Governor Michelle Bullock are speaking. In tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, we note the release of Australia\u2019s building approvals for January and current account balance for Q425.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As for the rest of the week:<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

On Tuesday we get Turkey\u2019s CPI rates for February and the Euro Zone\u2019s preliminary HICP rate for the same month. On Wednesday we get Australia\u2019s real GDP rate for Q4, China\u2019s NBS and Manufacturing PMI figures for February, Switzerland\u2019s and the Czech Republic\u2019s CPI rates for February and from the US the ISM non manufacturing PMI figure also for February. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

On Thursday we get Australia\u2019s trade data for January, Sweden\u2019s preliminary CPI rates for February and the weekly US initial jobless claims figure. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

On Friday we get Germany\u2019s industrial orders for January, UK\u2019s Halifax House prices for February, Euro Zone\u2019s revised GDP rates for Q4, Canada\u2019s leading index for February, the US retail sales for January and the highlight is expected ot be the US employment report for February with its NFP figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Charts to keep an eye out<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

WTI<\/strong>\u2019s price rallied reaching at some point $74.50 per barrel before correcting below the 73.35 (R1) resistance line. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The RSI indicator breached the reading of 70, implying a strong bullish market sentiment yet also that WTI\u2019s price is at overbought levels. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Should the bulls maintain control, we may see WTI\u2019s price breaking the 73.35 (R1) resistance line and start aiming for the 76.60 (R2) resistance base. Should the bears be in charge, we may see WTI\u2019s price breaking the 70.00 (S1) support line and continue to break also the 66.20 (S2) level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USD\/JPY<\/strong> rose in today\u2019s Asian session, aiming for the 157.60 (R1) resistance line. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We intend to maintain a bullish outlook for the pair as long as the upward trendline guiding it remains intact. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Should the bullish outlook be maintained, USD\/JPY may break the 157.60 (R1) line and start aiming for the 159.45 (R2) level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

For a bearish outlook to emerge for the pair we would require USD\/JPY to break the prementioned upward trendline and continue to break also the 154.30 (S1) level and the 152.10 (S2) support level.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

WTI Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"WTI<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Support: 70.00 (S1), 66.20 (S2), 61.80 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Resistance: 73.35 (R1), 76.60 (R2), 80.00 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    USD\/JPY Daily Chart<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
    \"USD\/JPY<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Support: 154.30 (S1), 152.10 (S2), 149.40 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Resistance: 157.60 (R1), 159.45 (R2), 161.90 (R3)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \"Horizontal<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

      Disclaimer:
      This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      USD weakened despite favorable data The selling momentum for the USD in the FX market was maintained yesterday, given the<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":107933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-128974","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUS-Iranian conflict monopolises headlines<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"US-Iran tensions and Straits of Hormuz risks lift oil prices, spark risk-off mood, and support safe-haven assets like gold and USD.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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