{"id":86898,"date":"2024-06-28T12:04:37","date_gmt":"2024-06-28T09:04:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=86898"},"modified":"2024-07-01T16:23:51","modified_gmt":"2024-07-01T13:23:51","slug":"mays-us-core-pce-rates-in-focus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/fr\/mays-us-core-pce-rates-in-focus\/","title":{"rendered":"May\u2019s US Core PCE rates in focus\u00a0\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The USD edged lower yesterday against its counterparts yet recovered the losses during today\u2019s Asian session, implying a relative stability. On a fundamental level, we note that the US Presidential debate passed largely unnoticed by the markets, despite a slight spike of the USD at the time. Worries for the ability of incumbent President Biden to continue with another four-year term are deepening, given his performance at the debate, which could play a key role in contested states. Today we highlight the release of the US Core PCE price index for May. Should the rates fail to slow down or even accelerate we may see the USD gaining ground against its counterparts, as such rates would imply stubborn inflationary pressures in the US economy and probably could harden the stance of the Fed to keep rates high for longer. It\u2019s characteristic of Fed policymaker\u2019s hesitation to start cutting rates, that Fed Board Governor Bowman stated yesterday that she is still not ready to support a central bank rate cut with inflation pressures still elevated.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"US Core PCE rates due out today\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/1i0_x9JaWJk?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY continued to rise yesterday using the 160.35 (S1) as a platform of support to rise further. We tend to maintain our bullish outlook given that the upward trendline guiding it remains intact. Yet at the same time we stress our warnings that the pair may be at overbought levels and ripe for a correction lower. Also at a fundamental level, we highlight the possibility of a market intervention operation by Japan to the Yen\u2019s rescue. Should the bulls maintain control over the pair, we set as the next possible target the 163.00 (R1) resistance line. Should the bears take over, we may see USD\/JPY breaking the 160.35 (S1) support line and taking aim of the 157.75 (S2) support level.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Across the Atlantic, we note that the final UK GDP rates for Q1, came in slightly improved if compared to the preliminary release and provided some slight support for the sterling. The release highlighted that the macroeconomic outlook of the UK seems to be improving, fading away any market worries for a recession in the UK economy. Pound traders are currently more focused on fundamentals as the UK elections on the 4th of July are nearing and the Labour Party is leading the polls by a wide margin, which tends to foreshadow a shift in Government highlighting a degree of uncertainty for what lies ahead for the UK.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>GBP\/USD edged a bit higher yesterday after nearing the 1.2600 (S1) support line. We tend to maintain a bearish outlook for the pair as long as the pair remains below the downward trendline guiding it since the 12<sup>\u00a0&nbsp;<\/sup> of June. Should the selling interest be renewed we may see the pair breaking the 1.2600 (S1) support line and aiming for the 1.2480 (S2) support level. For a bullish outlook we would require the pair to break the prementioned downward trendline in a first signal that the downward motion has been interrupted and continue to break the 1.2760 (R1) resistance line, which would open the gates for the 1.2890 (R2) level.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today in the European session we note the release of France\u2019s preliminary HICP rates for June, Switzerland\u2019s KOF indicator for June and the Czech Republic\u2019s revised GDP rate for Q1, while Richmond Fed President Barkin speaks. In the American session, we get from the US the consumption rate, the PCE and Core PCE rates for May, June\u2019s final University of Michigan consumer sentiment and Canada\u2019s April GDP rates, while Federal Board Governor Bowman is scheduled to speak. On Sunday we note the release of China\u2019s NBS PMI figures for June, while on Monday\u2019s Asian session, we get Japan\u2019s Tankan indexes for Q2 and China\u2019s Caixin manufacturing PMI figure for June. On a fundamental level, we highlight the 1<sup>&nbsp;<\/sup> round of the French legislative elections on Monday. Polls currently imply the far right National Rally gets around 36% of the votes with the far-left New Popular Front following with 28.5%. Hence market worries tend to intensify, as French voters tend to be polarised setting an unpleasant dilemma and we may see an intense market reaction on EUR pairs and French stock markets at Monday\u2019s opening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>USD\/JPY Daily Chart<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-122.png\" alt=\"support at one hundred and sixty point thirty five and resistance at one hundred and sixty three, direction upwards  \" class=\"wp-image-86986\" style=\"width:771px;height:358px\" width=\"771\" height=\"358\" title=\"usd-jpy-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 160.35 (S1), 157.75 (S2), 154.60 (S3)&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Resistance: 163.00 (R1), 166.00 (R2), 169.00 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>GBP\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-123.png\" alt=\"support at one point two six and resistance at one point two seven six, direction downwards\" class=\"wp-image-86987\" style=\"width:778px;height:361px\" width=\"778\" height=\"361\" title=\"gbp-usd-daily-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.2600 (S1), 1.2480 (S2), 1.2375 (S3)&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Resistance: 1.2760 (R1), 1.2890 (R2), 1.3000 (R3)&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"759\" height=\"190\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-86966\" title=\"benchmark-28-06-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-119.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-86976\" style=\"width:827px;height:481px\" width=\"827\" height=\"481\" title=\"table-28-06-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1928\" height=\"1430\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-117.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-86968\" title=\"morning-releases-28-06-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1962\" height=\"1092\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-118.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-86969\" title=\"morning-releases-28-06-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><i>Si vous avez des questions d'ordre g\u00e9n\u00e9ral ou des commentaires concernant cet article, veuillez envoyer un email directement \u00e0 notre \u00e9quipe de recherche \u00e0 l'adresse <\/i>&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:reseach_team@ironfx.com\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Avertissement :<br><i>Ces informations ne doivent pas \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme un conseil ou une recommandation d'investissement, mais uniquement comme une communication marketing. IronFX n'est pas responsable des donn\u00e9es ou informations fournies par des tiers r\u00e9f\u00e9renc\u00e9s, ou en lien hypertexte, dans cette communication.<\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USD edged lower yesterday against its counterparts yet recovered the losses during today\u2019s Asian session, implying a relative stability.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-86898","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>May\u2019s US Core PCE rates in focus\u00a0\u00a0<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The USD stabilized after losses. 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