{"id":60759,"date":"2023-04-18T17:11:56","date_gmt":"2023-04-18T14:11:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=60759"},"modified":"2025-10-13T16:46:28","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T13:46:28","slug":"gold-consolidates-before-taking-the-next-step","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/es\/gold-consolidates-before-taking-the-next-step\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold consolidates before taking the next step"},"content":{"rendered":"

Oro<\/strong> failed to reach<\/strong> it\u2019s all<\/strong>–time<\/strong> highs<\/strong> last week<\/strong>, as market<\/strong> returns to normal<\/strong> y inflationary<\/strong> pressures<\/strong> appear to be easing<\/strong>, gold\u2019s<\/strong> price has consolidated<\/strong> near the $2000 level<\/strong>, remaining<\/strong> within<\/strong> last week\u2019s opening<\/strong> y closing<\/strong> range. Following, signs<\/strong> of easing<\/strong> inflation<\/strong>, gold\u2019s<\/strong> ascent<\/strong> was put on hold<\/strong> last week<\/strong> and it now appears<\/strong> that the shiny metal is moving in a upwards<\/strong> motion<\/strong> as the markets await further information. In this report, we aim to shed light on the catalysts driving the precious metal\u2019s price, assess its future outlook and conclude with a technical analysis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gold stays near the $2000 key psychological level<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The mixed<\/strong> economic<\/strong> data<\/strong> stemming from the US<\/strong> has halted<\/strong> gold\u2019s<\/strong> ascent<\/strong> at it\u2019s current<\/strong> levels<\/strong>, with the precious<\/strong>, slightly<\/strong> losing<\/strong> momentum<\/strong>. Last Wednesday, the US<\/strong> CPI<\/strong> print<\/strong> for March ticked<\/strong> down<\/strong> to 5% for the first time since the 10.<\/sup> of June 2021. The lower<\/strong> than predicted<\/strong> drop highlighted<\/strong> that the Fed\u2019s<\/strong> fight<\/strong> against inflation<\/strong> may be yielding<\/strong> results<\/strong> and as a result<\/strong> weakened<\/strong> the greenback<\/strong>. Since the latest<\/strong> CPI<\/strong> print<\/strong> broadcasted indications<\/strong> of lower<\/strong> inflation<\/strong> that may ease<\/strong> the pressure<\/strong> on the Fed<\/strong> to continue their aggressive<\/strong> rate hiking<\/strong> path<\/strong> in order to avoid a recession<\/strong>. Following the inflation<\/strong> report<\/strong> on Wednesday<\/strong> the market<\/strong> grappled<\/strong> with the latest<\/strong> Fed<\/strong> meeting<\/strong> minutes<\/strong>, that indicated that Fed<\/strong> members<\/strong> anticipate a mild<\/strong> recession<\/strong> in the US<\/strong> , which boosted<\/strong> inflows<\/strong> towards the precious<\/strong>. Oro<\/strong> is unanimously<\/strong> considered<\/strong> to be a universal<\/strong> hedge<\/strong> against times of economic<\/strong> downturn<\/strong>, due to its safe<\/strong> haven<\/strong> status<\/strong>. Furthermore, the Initial<\/strong> Jobless<\/strong> Claims<\/strong> figure released on Thursday, came in higher<\/strong> than predicted<\/strong> with the actual figure<\/strong> standing<\/strong> at 239k versus the predicted<\/strong> figure of 232k, supporting<\/strong> the view<\/strong> that the US<\/strong> employment<\/strong> market<\/strong> is losing steam<\/strong>. This facilitated<\/strong> gold<\/strong>, to further<\/strong> capitalize<\/strong> against a weaker<\/strong> greenback<\/strong> and allowed the metal\u2019s<\/strong> price to move towards<\/strong> its all<\/strong>–time<\/strong> highs<\/strong>. On Friday however<\/strong>, the mixed<\/strong> narrative<\/strong> from the US Retail sales<\/strong> and the University of Michigan\u2019s expectations<\/strong> capped<\/strong> the precious<\/strong> metales<\/strong> ascent<\/strong> at around $2045 level<\/strong>. Even though the retail<\/strong> sales<\/strong> figures<\/strong> for March came below<\/strong> estimates<\/strong>, indicating a reduction<\/strong> of consumer<\/strong> spending<\/strong> in the economy<\/strong>, hence the potential<\/strong> for a slowdown<\/strong> may have weakened<\/strong> the greenback<\/strong>. However, the big<\/strong> picture<\/strong> was that Industrial<\/strong> production<\/strong> for March increased<\/strong>, in addition to a greater<\/strong> than expected reading<\/strong> of the University of Michigan\u2019s indicators<\/strong>, signaling<\/strong> confidence<\/strong> in the US<\/strong> economy as a whole and may have mitigated<\/strong> fears<\/strong> of a recession<\/strong>. More importantly, the greater<\/strong> than expected<\/strong> earnings<\/strong> reports from major<\/strong> banks<\/strong> such as JP Morgan, Wells Fargo<\/strong> y Citibank<\/strong> signaled<\/strong> that the banking<\/strong> crisis<\/strong> fears<\/strong> may<\/strong> have been eradicated<\/strong>, thus providing<\/strong> some form of stability<\/strong> in the markets<\/strong> going into this week\u2019s banks earnings<\/strong> releases<\/strong>. As a result<\/strong>, despite the precious<\/strong> gaining<\/strong> support<\/strong> due to indications<\/strong> of lessening<\/strong> inflationary<\/strong> pressures<\/strong> in the economy, the contradictory<\/strong> data<\/strong> y earnings<\/strong> releases on Friday provided<\/strong> support<\/strong> for the greenback<\/strong> leading to outflows<\/strong> from the precious<\/strong> metal. Given the weakness<\/strong> from employment<\/strong> indicators<\/strong>, in addition to tightening<\/strong> consumer<\/strong> spending<\/strong> from the retail sales report, the Fed<\/strong> may have lost<\/strong> some leeway<\/strong> in the event that they decide<\/strong> to further<\/strong> hikes<\/strong> rates<\/strong>, in order to further reduce<\/strong> inflationary<\/strong> pressures<\/strong>. However, statements made by Fed<\/strong> officials indicate<\/strong> otherwise<\/strong>, such as Fed Governor Waller<\/strong> who stated during a speech on Friday, \u201cThis growth would mean that, so far, tighter monetary policy and credit conditions are not doing much to restrain aggregate demand\u201d,implying that the Fed<\/strong> may need to raise<\/strong> interest<\/strong> rates<\/strong> further during<\/strong> their May<\/strong> meeting<\/strong>, thus translating<\/strong> into support<\/strong> for the greenback<\/strong>. Furthermore, according to Reuters, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari<\/strong> stated last Wednesday that allowing inflation to stay would be even worse for the labour market<\/strong>. Hence the relatively hawkish<\/strong> comments<\/strong>, pushed traders to speculate<\/strong> that rate hikes<\/strong> are still on the Fed\u2019s<\/strong> agenda<\/strong>, as FFF<\/strong> at the time of this report implied<\/strong> an 88% probability<\/strong> of the Fed<\/strong> increasing<\/strong> interest rates by 25 basis points<\/strong> in their May<\/strong> meeting<\/strong>. The hawkish<\/strong> comments<\/strong> did not result in major<\/strong> fluctuations<\/strong> in the price of gold<\/strong>, yet we note a slight decline in the price of the precious as the greenback strengthened. On a monetary note, traders may anticipate<\/strong> the remaining three speeches<\/strong> by FOMC<\/strong> members Bowman<\/strong>, Waller<\/strong> y Cook<\/strong> throughout the week, as they may provide further indication<\/strong> into the Fed\u2019s<\/strong> decision<\/strong> in May before the FOMC blackout period beginning this Sunday<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An\u00e1lisis t\u00e9cnico<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

XAU\/USD Gr\u00e1fico 4H<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Support: 1985(S1), 1950 (S2), 1900 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Resistance: 2015 (R1), 2045 (R2), 2075 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Gold\u2019s price seems to be moving in an upwards fashion, validating the upwards trendline formed on the 15.<\/sup> of March. We tend to maintain a bullish outlook as long as the price action remains above the 1985 (S1) level with the RSI indicator moving towards 70. However, we highlight the fact that the RSI indicator is currently near the figure of 50, implying temporary indecisiveness in the market. For our bullish outlook, to continue we would require the price to make a clean break the above the 2015(R1) resistance level, breaking also the 2045 (R2) resistance barrier and aiming for gold\u2019s all-time high at the 2075 (R3) resistance line . Should the bears take over, we would require a clear break below the support line of 1985 (S1) and a move towards support at the 1950 (S2) level potentially moving even lower. Should the precious fail to break above 2015 (R1) and break below 1985 (S1) and the RSI indicator remaining near 50, we may see gold move in a sideways motion between R1 and S1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Descargo de responsabilidad:
    Esta informaci\u00f3n no se considera un consejo de inversi\u00f3n ni una recomendaci\u00f3n de inversi\u00f3n, sino una comunicaci\u00f3n de marketing<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Gold failed to reach it\u2019s all-time highs last week, as market returns…<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[376,355,386,411,780,338],"class_list":["post-60759","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-gold","tag-gold-market","tag-gold-price","tag-gold-traders","tag-market-research","tag-technical-analysis","blog-category-metals","blog_tag-gold","blog_tag-gold-market","blog_tag-gold-price","blog_tag-gold-traders","blog_tag-market-research","blog_tag-technical-analysis","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nGold Outlook: Gold consolidates before taking the next step<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Shed light on the catalysts driving the gold price, assess its future outlook and conclude with a 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