{"id":60464,"date":"2023-04-11T16:00:25","date_gmt":"2023-04-11T13:00:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=60464"},"modified":"2025-10-13T17:00:25","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T14:00:25","slug":"gold-near-to-its-peak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/es\/gold-near-to-its-peak\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold near to its peak"},"content":{"rendered":"

As the market<\/strong> returns to normal<\/strong> and the levels<\/strong> of Volatilidad<\/strong> are gradually<\/strong> reduced<\/strong>, gold\u2019s<\/strong> price has remained<\/strong> within last<\/strong> week\u2019s<\/strong> opening<\/strong> y closing<\/strong> range<\/strong>. Following gold\u2019s<\/strong> continued ascent<\/strong> last week<\/strong>, slight fears<\/strong> funnelled<\/strong> inflows<\/strong> into the precious<\/strong> and it now appears<\/strong> that the shiny<\/strong> metal<\/strong> is moving<\/strong> in a sideways<\/strong> motion<\/strong> as the markets<\/strong> await further<\/strong> information<\/strong>. In this report, we aim to shed light on the catalysts driving the precious metal\u2019s price, assess its future outlook and conclude with a technical analysis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gold stays near the $2000 psychological level<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The wide<\/strong> uncertainty<\/strong> that had existed<\/strong> during the past<\/strong> few weeks<\/strong> appears<\/strong> to have vanished<\/strong>, yet the precious<\/strong> held its ground between last week\u2019s opening and closing range, remaining relatively<\/strong> unchanged<\/strong>. Last Wednesday the US JOLTS Job openings<\/strong> for February dropped under 10 million for the first time since the 7.<\/sup> of July 2021. The unexpected<\/strong> drop highlighted<\/strong> that the US labour<\/strong> market<\/strong> may be losing<\/strong> steam<\/strong> and as a result weakened<\/strong> the greenback<\/strong>, as speculation<\/strong> of a recession<\/strong> increased<\/strong>. Thus, given that the shiny<\/strong> metal<\/strong> is perceived to be a hedge<\/strong> against economic<\/strong> downturn<\/strong>, traders saw safe<\/strong> heaven<\/strong> inflows<\/strong> into the precious<\/strong> following the announcement<\/strong>. Furthermore, right on the heels of the JOLTS Job Openings<\/strong> report, the ADP Non-Farm payrolls<\/strong> figure was released<\/strong>, which supported<\/strong> the JOLTS figure<\/strong>, indicating the loosening<\/strong> of the tightness<\/strong> of the US employment market<\/strong>. This resulted in gold<\/strong> further capitalizing<\/strong> against a weaker<\/strong> greenback<\/strong> and allowed the metal\u2019s<\/strong> price to break<\/strong> above<\/strong> the $2000<\/strong> psychological<\/strong> level<\/strong> and move towards<\/strong> its all<\/strong>–time<\/strong> highs<\/strong>. On Friday however, the narrative<\/strong> shifted<\/strong> as the Non-Farm Payrolls<\/strong> report recorded<\/strong> once again solid<\/strong> results<\/strong>. Even though the headline<\/strong> figure<\/strong> came below<\/strong> estimates<\/strong> by only 3k, in the grander<\/strong> scheme of things the addition<\/strong> of 236k during<\/strong> the month of March<\/strong>, signals that the US labor force remains tight<\/strong>. More importantly<\/strong>, the unemployment<\/strong> rate<\/strong> eased<\/strong> to 3.5%, just shy of the lowest levels ever recorded<\/strong> and serves as another indication<\/strong> that the employment markets remains hot<\/strong>. As a result, despite the precious<\/strong> gaining support<\/strong> due to the ADP Non-Farm Payrolls and Jolts Job openings figures<\/strong>, the gains<\/strong> made by the ADP NFP figure<\/strong> were wiped<\/strong> within the next two trading sessions<\/strong> as the greenback<\/strong> gained<\/strong> support<\/strong> leading to outflows<\/strong> from the precious<\/strong> metal<\/strong>. Given the continued tight<\/strong> labour<\/strong> market<\/strong>, the Fed<\/strong> may have some leeway<\/strong> in the event that they decide<\/strong> further rate<\/strong> hikes<\/strong> are necessary<\/strong> in order to continue<\/strong> their fight<\/strong> against inflation<\/strong>. Thus, with the possibility<\/strong> of future rate hikes<\/strong> back on the table given the resilient<\/strong> results<\/strong> from the NFP<\/strong> report<\/strong>, the market<\/strong> now foresees<\/strong> that the central<\/strong> bank<\/strong> will hike<\/strong> by 25 basis points<\/strong> in its next meeting on the 3 <\/sup> of May<\/strong>, evident from the 71.4% probability<\/strong> from Feds Funds Futures<\/strong>. Furthermore, NY Fed President Williams<\/strong> who on Monday dismissed<\/strong> the notion<\/strong> that the Fed\u2019s interest rate policy<\/strong> was behind the collapse<\/strong> of SVB<\/strong> stating that he personally doesn\u2019t think \u201cit was the case that the pace of rate increases was really behind the issues at the two banks back in March<\/strong>\u201d. Hence the relatively hawkish<\/strong> comments<\/strong>, facilitated<\/strong> traders<\/strong> to speculate<\/strong> that rate hikes<\/strong> are still on the agenda<\/strong>. It should be noted that despite the hawkish remarks<\/strong> made by NY Fed President Williams<\/strong>, the comments did<\/strong> not<\/strong> result in major<\/strong> fluctuations<\/strong> in the price of gold<\/strong>, which could be due to the release of the March survey of<\/strong> Consumer of expectations<\/strong> by the NY Fed<\/strong> where \u201crespondents were more pessimistic about future credit availability as well, with the share of households expecting it will be harder to obtain credit a year from now also rising<\/strong>\u201d. Potentially fueling continued fears<\/strong> of a recession<\/strong> in the near future thus offsetting<\/strong> the hawkish<\/strong> remarks<\/strong>. The highlight of the week, however, is the widely anticipated US CPI print<\/strong> on Wednesday, that should provide valuable<\/strong> insight<\/strong> for traders as to the degree to which inflationary<\/strong> pressures<\/strong> still persist<\/strong> in the US economy<\/strong>.  Should there be a deceleration of inflationary pressure<\/strong> we may see the precious<\/strong> metal<\/strong> strengthen<\/strong>, whereas a higher<\/strong> than anticipated<\/strong> print<\/strong>, could weaken<\/strong> gold\u2019s<\/strong> price<\/strong> since it may signal<\/strong> that inflationary<\/strong> pressures<\/strong> remain persistent<\/strong> in the US economy<\/strong>. Hence, we may see the precious remain relatively stable as gold<\/strong> market<\/strong> traders await<\/strong> for the results<\/strong> of the report<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Newmont and Newcrest merger potentially setting a new record<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

According to Reuters, US based Newmont<\/strong> offered to buy Australia\u2019s Newcrest Mining LTD<\/strong> for $19.5 billion<\/strong>, potentially extending<\/strong> Newmont\u2019s<\/strong> control as the world\u2019s<\/strong> biggest<\/strong> gold<\/strong> producer<\/strong>. If the merger<\/strong> proceeds as planned, we may see Newmont\u2019s<\/strong> gold output<\/strong> nearly doubling<\/strong> against it\u2019s rival Barrick Gold Corp<\/strong> as stated by Reuters<\/strong>. According to S&P Global Market Intelligence<\/strong>, the merger may allow Newmont<\/strong> to have a greater<\/strong> control<\/strong> over the current precious<\/strong> prices<\/strong>, as their ability to control<\/strong> approximately 8.9% of the world\u2019s<\/strong> global<\/strong> gold<\/strong> supply<\/strong>, may provide leverage in future negotiations<\/strong> y gold<\/strong> outputs. Hence, the shiny<\/strong> metal\u2019s<\/strong> price<\/strong> may benefit<\/strong> from this merger<\/strong> as control of global supply<\/strong> solidifies<\/strong>, hence may reduce<\/strong> Volatilidad<\/strong> in the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An\u00e1lisis t\u00e9cnico<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

XAU\/USD Gr\u00e1fico 4H<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Support: 1985 (S1), 1950 (S2), 1925 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Resistance: 2025 (R1), 2050 (R2), 2070 (R3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Gold\u2019s price<\/strong> seems to be moving in an upwards<\/strong> fashion<\/strong> having broken<\/strong> above previous<\/strong> resistance<\/strong> now turned<\/strong> support<\/strong> at 1985 (S1) level. We tend to maintain<\/strong> a bullish<\/strong> outlook<\/strong> as long as the price<\/strong> action<\/strong> remains above<\/strong> the 1985 (S1) level<\/strong> with the RSI<\/strong> indicator moving<\/strong> towards 70.  For our bullish<\/strong> outlook<\/strong>, to continue we would require price to make a clean<\/strong> break<\/strong> the above<\/strong> the 2025(R1) resistance<\/strong> level<\/strong>, aiming if not breaking<\/strong> also the 2050 (R2) resistance<\/strong> barrier<\/strong> formed on the 5.<\/sup> of April, that has yet to be retested<\/strong>. Should the bears<\/strong> take over, we would require<\/strong> a clear<\/strong> break<\/strong> below<\/strong> the support<\/strong> line of 1985 (S1) and a move towards support<\/strong> at the 1950 (S2) level<\/strong> potentially moving even lower<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Descargo de responsabilidad:
    Esta informaci\u00f3n no se considera un consejo de inversi\u00f3n ni una recomendaci\u00f3n de inversi\u00f3n, sino una comunicaci\u00f3n de marketing<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    As the market returns to normal and the levels of volatility are gradually…<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_daim_seo_power":"","_daim_enable_ail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[376,355,386,411,780,338],"class_list":["post-60464","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-gold","tag-gold-market","tag-gold-price","tag-gold-traders","tag-market-research","tag-technical-analysis","blog-category-metals","blog_tag-gold","blog_tag-gold-market","blog_tag-gold-price","blog_tag-gold-traders","blog_tag-market-research","blog_tag-technical-analysis","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nGold Outlook: Gold Outlook: Gold near to its peak<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We aim to shed light on the catalysts driving the precious metal\u2019s price, assess its future outlook and conclude with a technical analysis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60464\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold near to its peak\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"We aim to shed light on the catalysts driving the precious metal\u2019s price, assess its future outlook and conclude with a technical analysis.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/es\/gold-near-to-its-peak\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-04-11T13:00:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-13T14:00:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Gold near to its peak\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-04-11T13:00:25+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-13T14:00:25+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1029,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"gold\",\"Gold market\",\"gold price\",\"Gold traders\",\"market research\",\"Technical analysis\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/\",\"name\":\"Gold Outlook: Gold Outlook: Gold near to its peak\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-04-11T13:00:25+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-13T14:00:25+00:00\",\"description\":\"We aim to shed light on the catalysts driving the precious metal\u2019s price, assess its future outlook and conclude with a technical analysis.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/gold-near-to-its-peak\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Gold near to its peak\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/es\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\""Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners' needs. 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