{"id":90197,"date":"2024-09-02T16:08:12","date_gmt":"2024-09-02T13:08:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=90197"},"modified":"2024-09-02T16:08:29","modified_gmt":"2024-09-02T13:08:29","slug":"crypto-outlook-btc-starts-the-week-in-the-reds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/en\/crypto-outlook-btc-starts-the-week-in-the-reds\/","title":{"rendered":"Crypto Outlook: BTC starts the week in the reds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Bitcoin\u2019s price seems to have continued in its downwards trajectory, with the coin currently below $60000. In this report, we aim to shed light on the possible factors aiding to the recent developments in combination with a crypto technical analysis of Bitcoin. \u00a0<\/strong> \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Crypto: Overview Report<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Outflows from BTC ETFs<\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

According to data from SoSoValue, US-Listed BTC ETF\u2019s recorded $71 million\u00a0 in net outflows<\/strong> last Thursday, with the surprise coming from BlackRock\u2019s IBIT which recorded outlfows of roughly $13 million for the second time ever.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hence, given that BlackRocks IBIT ETF<\/strong> is the largest bitcoin fund when considering assets under management<\/strong>, the announcement of net outflows for the second time in the particular fund\u2019s history may have had a negative impact on the coin\u2019s price, as it may imply that traditional investors may be exiting the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moreover, the wider net outflows in BTC ETFs may have weighed on Bitcoin\u2019s price, as the negative implications of a widespread reduction in demand, could further weigh on the coin\u2019s price should the outflows continue in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Powell\u2019s dovish comments and their possible impact on BTC\u2019s price<\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

On deeper fundamental level for the markets we continue to highlight the Feds\u2019 intentions as a factor that could also affect cryptocurrencies. In particular, Fed Chairman Powell\u2019s speech<\/strong> indicated that interest rate cuts lay ahead for the Fed in his speech regarding the US economic outlook and the Fed\u2019s monetary policy at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Specifically, Fed Chair Powell\u2019s comments that \u2018The time has come for policy to adjust\u2019 tended to intensify the market\u2019s expectations of a rate cut by the Fed in their next monetary policy meeting. Overall, the dovish implications of a rate cut by the Fed in their September meeting, may have opened the door for investors to funnel funds into more \u201criskier\u201d assets such as Bitcoin which may have seen outflows due to concerns about a possible recession in the US economy<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Therefore, the implications of an easing of the tight financial conditions surrounding the US economy, may aid cryptocurrencies and in particular Bitcoin given its status as the \u201cKing of Crypto\u201d. However, should other US financial releases lead to market participants returning to their risk-averse nature, it could instead funnel outflows from cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin which in turn may weigh on the coin\u2019s price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US Presidential race heats up<\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The US Presidential race<\/strong> is heating up, with just two months remaining until the primaries, recent polls are showing Vice President Kamala Harris outpacing Former President Trump. In particular, ABC\u2019s 538 polls show VP Harris leading Former Pres Trump<\/strong> by roughly 3% in the national polls with VP Harris at 47.1% and Former President Trump at 43.8% as of September 1st<\/sup>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The possibility of VP Harris winning the US Presidential may be perceived as a negative for cryptocurrencies, as between the two candidates, former President Trump<\/strong> is a more outspoken supporter of crypto and in particular Bitcoin, with the former President<\/strong> having implied that he would support the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve. Therefore, the widening gap in the polls between Harris and Trump may weigh on Bitcoin\u2019s price, should Harris maintain or even extend her lead<\/strong> against her opponent leading up to the election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the flip side, should Trump manage to narrow the gap or even surpass Harris in the polls, it may be perceived as a positive indication for Bitcoin\u2019s future and thus could support the coin\u2019s price. However, we should note that these are the national polls and thus greater emphasis may be placed in battleground states which may determine the results of the US Presidential elections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Crypto Technical Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

BTC\/USD Daily Chart<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"Line<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Support: 56600 (S1), 52000 (S2), 47100 (S3)\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Resistance: 61100 (R1), 63500 (R2), 69300 (R3) \u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    BTC\/USD appears to be moving in a downwards fashion. We opt for a bearish outlook for the coin and supporting our case is the RSI indicator below our chart which currently registers a figure near 40, implying a bearish market sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Moreover, we would also like to note the clear break below our upwards moving trendline which was incepted on the 6th of August, which may further support our aforementioned bias. For our bearish outlook to continue, we would require a clear break below the 56600 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being the 52000 (S2) support line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    On the flip side, for a sideways bias we would require the coin\u2019s price to remain confined between the sideways moving channel defined by the 56600 (S1) support level and the 61100 (R1) resistance line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Lastly, for a bullish outlook we would require a clear break above the 61100 (R1) resistance level with the next possible target for the bulls being the 63500 (R2) resistance line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Disclaimer:
    This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but instead a marketing communication. IronFX is not responsible for any data or information provided by third parties referenced, or hyperlinked, in this communication.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Risk Warning:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Crypto CFDs are an extremely high-risk, speculative investment and you may lose all your invested capital. Before trading, you need to ensure you fully understand the risks involved taking into consideration your level of experience and investment objectives. Seek independent advice, if necessary.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Since our last crypto report, the price of Bitcoin appears to have moved higher since last week with the coin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":76219,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-90197","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCrypto Outlook: BTC starts the week in the reds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore the factors driving crypto Bitcoin's recent price drop below $60,000, along with a technical analysis of its market trends.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90197\/\" \/>\n<meta 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