{"id":84631,"date":"2024-05-30T11:24:02","date_gmt":"2024-05-30T08:24:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ironfx-com-php8.wp-dev.int.theitops.net\/?p=84631"},"modified":"2025-12-30T09:48:54","modified_gmt":"2025-12-30T07:48:54","slug":"germanys-hicp-rate-may-hinder-the-ecbs-rate-cut-ambitions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/ar\/germanys-hicp-rate-may-hinder-the-ecbs-rate-cut-ambitions\/","title":{"rendered":"Germany\u2019s HICP rate may hinder the ECB\u2019s rate cut ambitions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Germany\u2019s Preliminary HICP rates for May which were released yesterday, showcased persistent inflationary pressures. In particular, Germany\u2019s Preliminary HICP rate for May on a year-on-year basis came in higher than expected at 2.8% versus the expected rate of 2.7%, thus implying an acceleration in inflationary pressures in one of Europe\u2019s largest economies. The higher-than-expected rate may prove a thorn in the market participants&#8217; ambitions for a June rate cut by the bank, as it may increase pressure on the ECB to maintain interest rates higher for longer. However, there was a silver lining and that was the preliminary HICP rate for May on a month-on-month basis which came in lower than expected at 0.1% versus the expected rate of 0.2%, which implies a slight easing of inflationary pressures, at least on a mom level. Over in America, the US\u2019s 2nd revision for its GDP rate for the first quarter of 2024 is set to be released during today\u2019s American session. Currently, market expectations are for the revised GDP rate to come in at 1.3% versus the first preliminary rate estimate of 1.6%. Such a scenario could imply that the economic situation in the US may be worse than initially anticipated and as such could weigh on the greenback. Over in Asia, China\u2019s NBS Manufacturing PMI figure for May is set to be released in tomorrow\u2019s Asian session. The NBS Manufacturing PMI figure is considered to be one of the gauges in regards to the resilience of the Chinese manufacturing sector. Furthermore, an uptick in Chinese manufacturing activity, may also imply an increase in demand for raw materials from Australia and thus could support the Aussie as well as the CNY.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Germany&#039;s HICP rates may be a source of concern for the ECB\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/N-LZu78nwiw?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On a technical level EUR\/USD appears to be moving in a downwards fashion. We switch our sideways bias in favour of a bearish outlook for the pair, and supporting our case is the breaking below our support turned to resistance line at the 1.0810 (R1) level. Moreover, the RSI indicator below our chart currently registers a figure near 30, implying a bearish market sentiment. For our bearish outlook to continue, we would like to see a break below the 1.0770 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being the 1.0725 (S2) support line. On the flip side for a bullish outlook, we would require\u00a0 a clear break above the 1.0810 (R1) resistance line with the next possible target for the bulls being the 1.0845 (R2) resistance level. Lastly, for a sideways bias we would like to see the pair remain confined between the 1.0770 (S1) support level and the 1.0810 (R1) resistance line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AUD\/USD appears to be moving in a sideways fashion. We maintain a sideways bias for the pair and supporting our case is the flattening out of the 50MA and 100MA lines in addition to the narrowing of the Bollinger bands, which all imply low market volatility. However, the RSI indicator below our chart which currently registers a figure of 30, implying some bearish tendencies. For our sideways bias to continue we would require the pair to remain confined between the 0.6590 (S1) support level and the 0.6670 (R1) resistance line. On the flip side, for a bearish outlook, we would require a clear break below the 0.6590 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being the 0.6520 (S2) support line. Lastly for a bullish outlook we would require a clear break above the 0.6670 (R1) resistance line, with the next possible target for the bulls being the 0.6735 (R2) resistance level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-highlights-for-the-day\"><strong>Other highlights for the day:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today we note the release of Switzerland\u2019s GDP rates for Q1 and KOF indicator figure for May, followed by the Eurozone\u2019s Economic sentiment and final consumer confidence figures both for May and Canada\u2019s business barometer figure for May. During the American session, we note the 2<sup>nd<\/sup> revision of the US\u2019s GDP rate for Q1, weekly initial jobless claims figure and the US weekly crude oil inventories figure. In tomorrow\u2019s busy Asian session, we note Japan\u2019s Tokyo CPI rates for May, Japan\u2019s unemployment rate for April, preliminary Industrial output rate for April and China\u2019s NBS Manufacturing PMI figure for May<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-eur-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>EUR\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"497\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-114.png\" alt=\"support at  one point zero seven seven zero  and resistance at one point zero eight one zero, direction downwards  \" class=\"wp-image-84632\" title=\"eur- usd-four-hour -chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 1.0770 (S1), 1.0725 (S2), 1.0670 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 1.0810 (R1), 1.0845 (R2), 1.0895 (R3) <strong><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-aud-usd-h4-chart\"><strong>AUD\/USD H4 Chart<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"476\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-115.png\" alt=\"support at  zero point six five nine zero  and resistance at zero point six six seven zero  , direction sideways  \" class=\"wp-image-84633\" title=\"aud-usd-four-hour-chart\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Support: 0.6590 (S1), 0.6520 (S2), 0.6445 (S3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Resistance: 0.6670 (R1), 0.6735 (R2), 0.6810 (R3) <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1964\" height=\"480\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-116.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-84634\" title=\"benchmark-30-05-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"983\" height=\"561\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-118.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-84636\" title=\"table-30-05-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1077\" height=\"1125\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/image-117.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-84635\" title=\"morning-releases-30-05-2024\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"translation-block\">If you have any general queries or comments relating to this article please send an email directly to our Research team at <a href=\"mailto:research_team@ironfx.com\" target=\"_self\">research_team@ironfx.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0625\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0624\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629:<br>\u0644\u0627 \u062a\u064f\u0639\u062f \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0635\u064a\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0625\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u064f\u0639\u062f \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644\u0627\u064b \u062a\u0633\u0648\u064a\u0642\u064a\u064b\u0627. \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u062d\u0645\u0644 IronFX \u0623\u064a \u0645\u0633\u0624\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0623\u064a \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0641 \u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0629 \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Germany\u2019s Preliminary HICP rates for May which were released yesterday, showcased persistent inflationary pressures. In particular, Germany\u2019s Preliminary HICP rate<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-84631","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","blog-category-financial-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Germany HICP rate may delay ECB rate cuts<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Germany HICP rate surprises to the upside, potentially hindering ECB rate cut plans as inflation pressures remain elevated.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ironfx.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84631\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ar_AR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Germany\u2019s HICP rate may hinder the ECB\u2019s rate cut ambitions\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Germany HICP rate surprises to the upside, potentially hindering ECB rate cut plans as inflation pressures remain elevated.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\/ar\/germanys-hicp-rate-may-hinder-the-ecbs-rate-cut-ambitions\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-05-30T08:24:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-30T07:48:54+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"IronFX Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/germanys-hicp-rate-may-hinder-the-ecbs-rate-cut-ambitions\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/germanys-hicp-rate-may-hinder-the-ecbs-rate-cut-ambitions\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"IronFX Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6727476356d10030d1564b38f6e699b1\"},\"headline\":\"Germany\u2019s HICP rate may hinder the ECB\u2019s rate cut ambitions\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-05-30T08:24:02+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-30T07:48:54+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/germanys-hicp-rate-may-hinder-the-ecbs-rate-cut-ambitions\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":795,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"ar\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/germanys-hicp-rate-may-hinder-the-ecbs-rate-cut-ambitions\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/germanys-hicp-rate-may-hinder-the-ecbs-rate-cut-ambitions\\\/\",\"name\":\"Germany HICP rate may delay ECB rate cuts\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-05-30T08:24:02+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-30T07:48:54+00:00\",\"description\":\"Germany HICP rate surprises to the upside, potentially hindering ECB rate cut plans as inflation pressures remain elevated.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/germanys-hicp-rate-may-hinder-the-ecbs-rate-cut-ambitions\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"ar\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/germanys-hicp-rate-may-hinder-the-ecbs-rate-cut-ambitions\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/germanys-hicp-rate-may-hinder-the-ecbs-rate-cut-ambitions\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Germany\u2019s HICP rate may hinder the ECB\u2019s rate cut ambitions\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.smartchinaeducation.com\\\/ar\\\/\",\"name\":\"Complete Turnkey Introducing Brokers (IB) Solution at IronFX\",\"description\":\"&quot;Our Introducing Brokers program offers competitive conditions tailored to our partners&#039; needs. 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